Al Akhdoud vs Al-Shabab Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/11/2025 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran).

Saudi Professional League - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.36
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
5	12
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
74% (211/286)	84% (316/375)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.76	0.73
Total shots
5	12
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
2	9
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
9	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
6	2
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
74% (211/286)	84% (316/375)
Long passes
30% (16/54)	69% (29/42)
Passes in final third
56% (45/80)	71% (81/114)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	1.04
Throw-ins
23	20
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
80% (20/25)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
50	50
Clearances
37	28
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.73	0.76
Goals prevented
-0.27	-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Al Sibyani H. K. A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Al Shwirekh M. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Narey K. ⚽, Borrell M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
61', Al Subiani F. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
69', Al Qaydhi M. ↓, Asiri N. ↑,
70', Abu Abd M. ↓, Ashi I. ↑,
80', Hamdallah A. 🟨,
80', Matuq A. ↓, Abdullah M. ↑,
88', Ashi I. 🟨,
88', Narey K. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
88', Pedroza J. ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
90+10', Petros 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al Akhdoud
28.2%

Draw
27.9%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.8%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

25.1%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Akhdoud's performance.

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Shabab Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Akhdoud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shabab Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.22)	3.35 ↓ (3.59)	2.07 ↑ (1.77)	7.6% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).
Al Akhdoud is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Shabab has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Al-Shabab will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al Akhdoud?

Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:

17.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:0

22.11.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1

22.12.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:0

14.08.2023 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 1:1

Latest results of Al Akhdoud

07.11.2025 Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud 2:0 ✺

31.10.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Najma 2:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 0:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al Hazem 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh

08.11.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 1:1 ✺

05.11.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1 ✺

31.10.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Zulfi 1:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac 1:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	24	20	1	3	65:19	46	61
2	Al Ahli SC	24	18	5	1	46:15	31	59
3	Al Hilal	24	17	7	0	62:23	39	58
4	Al Qadsiah	24	16	6	2	55:22	33	54
5	Al Ittihad	24	12	6	6	39:28	11	42
6	Al Taawon	24	12	5	7	42:29	13	41
7	Al Ettifaq	24	11	5	8	35:42	-7	38
8	Neom SC	24	9	5	10	29:33	-4	32
9	Al Fateh	24	7	7	10	32:43	-11	28
10	Al Hazem	24	7	7	10	26:44	-18	28
11	Al Khaleej	24	7	6	11	42:38	4	27
12	Al Fayha	24	7	6	11	28:41	-13	27
13	Al Shabab	24	6	7	11	30:38	-8	25
14	Al Kholood	24	8	1	15	32:42	-10	25
15	Al Riyadh	24	3	7	14	22:45	-23	16
16	Damac	24	2	10	12	18:41	-23	16
17	Al Okhdood	24	3	4	17	22:50	-28	13
18	Al Najma	24	1	5	18	22:54	-32	8

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1