Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League
Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.940.37
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
274
Shots on target
73
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
94
Passes
88% (384/437)85% (312/368)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
3.940.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.431.21
Total shots
274
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
151
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
163
Shots outside the box
111
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
3817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1113
Passes
88% (384/437)85% (312/368)
Long passes
55% (16/29)66% (37/56)
Passes in final third
79% (109/138)73% (72/99)
Crosses
40% (8/20)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.43
Throw ins
2419
Fouls
1311
Tackles
60% (9/15)38% (6/16)
Duels won
6341
Clearances
2815
Interceptions
619
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.212.43
Goals prevented
1.210.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Hamdallah A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 36', Adli Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
  • 63', Ince B. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
  • 64', Sierro V. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
  • 69', Al Asmari A. 🟨,
  • 74', Pedroza J. ↓, Borrell M. ↑,
  • 77', Adli Y. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
  • 79', Narey K. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
  • 79', Asiri N. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
  • 84', Borrell M. 🟨,
  • 88', Azaizeh A. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
  • 89', Fagihy M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Shabab Riyadh
74.5%		Draw
15.6%		Al Akhdoud
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 18.6% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 17.6% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shabab Riyadh's performance.
  • Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
    •

    Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.25 ↓
    (1.35)    		 6.12 ↑
    (4.98)    		 9.44 ↑
    (7.18)    		 7.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shabab: 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Al-Shabab (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • Al-Shabab is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al Akhdoud is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Al-Shabab may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Shabab is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1
    17.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:0
    22.11.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1
    22.12.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:0
    14.08.2023 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    07.03.2026 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1 ✺
    27.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal 3:5 ✺
    23.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 3:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3 ✺
    18.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Tadamone Hadramout 13:0
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    07.03.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Feiha 0:5 ✺
    28.02.2026 Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud 1:3 ✺
    23.02.2026 Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud 2:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya 2:4 ✺
    12.02.2026 Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud 2:1 ✺
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr26221371:195267
    2Al Hilal26197067:234464
    3Al Ahli SC26195251:193262
    4Al Qadsiah26186262:253760
    5Al Taawon26136747:331445
    6Al Ittihad26126841:34742
    7Al Ettifaq26116936:44-839
    8Neom SC26961131:36-533
    9Al Fayha26961134:41-733
    10Al Hazem26871129:47-1831
    11Al Khaleej26861244:44030
    12Al Shabab26781133:39-629
    13Al Fateh26771234:47-1328
    14Al Kholood26811734:48-1425
    15Damac264101224:42-1822
    16Al Riyadh26471525:49-2419
    17Al Okhdood26341922:57-3513
    18Al Najma26152023:61-388

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