Al-Shorta Baghdad vs Al-Ahli Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Result
0:5
22/12/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.00
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
85% (381/448)78% (265/341)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.22
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1235
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
105
Passes
85% (381/448)78% (265/341)
Long passes
38% (18/47)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
74% (75/101)64% (58/90)
Crosses
20% (3/15)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.28
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
510
Tackles
75% (12/16)48% (11/23)
Duels won
4349
Clearances
218
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.220.42
Goals prevented
-3.780.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Ibanez ⚽, Toney I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 57', 0 - 2, Toney I. ⚽, Galeno (A),
  • 65', Al Mawas M. ↓, Jabbar H. ↑,
  • 66', Raed H. ↓, Shakir B. ↑,
  • 71', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Galeno ⚽, Abu Al Shamat S. (A),
  • 78', Sadoun M. ↓, Mohammed Dawood ↑,
  • 81', 0 - 4, Abu Al Shamat S. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
  • 82', Galeno ↓, Al Hawsawi Z. ↑,
  • 82', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
  • 86', 0 - 5, Al Johani Z. ⚽,
  • 87', Demiral M. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
  • 89', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Al-Shorta Baghdad
22.5%		Draw
24.8%		Al-Ahli Jeddah
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 22.3% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 21.4% 61.2%

Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.16 ↓
(4.95)		 3.78 ↓
(4.21)		 1.78 ↑
(1.6)		 6.7%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 35.9% – 97.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Al-Shorta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    25.11.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shorta Baghdad 4:0 ✺
    20.11.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh 3:0
    03.11.2025 Tractor Sazi - Al-Shorta Baghdad 1:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karma 1:0
    24.10.2025 Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    28.11.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya 4:3
    24.11.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Sharjah 0:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya 2:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1
    04.11.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:2 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 641112:6613
    2Machida ✔ 632110:5511
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 63216:3311
    4Melbourne City ✔ 63127:6110
    5Seoul62318:539
    6Johor DT62226:518
    7Buriram62227:8-18
    8Ulsan HD62225:6-18
    9Gangwon62139:11-27
    10Chengdu Rongcheng61325:7-26
    11Shanghai Shenhua61145:9-44
    12Shanghai Port60242:11-92


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 660015:51018
    2Tractor ✔ 642010:2814
    3Al Ahli SC641117:61113
    4Al Wahda ✔ 641110:5513
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai631211:10110
    6Al Ittihad630311:839
    7Al-Duhail621313:1217
    8Al Sharjah62136:13-77
    9Al-Gharafa62047:12-56
    10Al-Sadd61239:12-35
    11Al Shorta60152:17-151
    12Nasaf Qarshi60066:15-90

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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