Result
1:3
18/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 3.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (403/467) | 80% (275/345) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 3.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 3.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (403/467) | 80% (275/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (184/225) | 70% (57/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (16/55) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.73 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Al Kuwaykibi M. (A),
- 17', Al Harfi A. 🟨,
- 21', Harun S. 🟨,
- 23', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
- 30', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
- 34', Victor Hugo 🟨,
- 41', Andrei Girotto ↓, Al Dossari M. ↑,
- 41', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
- 45+8', 0 - 2, Martinez Tobinson R. B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Al Harfi A. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 46', Zambrano C. ↓, Al Hurayji B. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Toze ⚽, Barbet Y. (A),
- 66', 1 - 3, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Fulgini A. (A),
- 70', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Sembene M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Riyadh
23.5% | Draw
25.8% | Al-Taawoun
50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↑
(3.81) |
3.55 ↓
(3.86) |
1.81 ↓
(1.82) |
8.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Taawoun (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Taawoun will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).
- Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Taawoun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Taawoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Taawoun could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Taawoun?
Al-Riyadh has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Al-Riyadh?
Al-Taawoun has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun were as follows:
20.05.2025
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Riyadh
3:2
21.01.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Taawoun
1:0
09.05.2024
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Taawoun
0:0
24.11.2023
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Riyadh
1:2
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 71:19 | 52 | 67 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 67:23 | 44 | 64 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 51:19 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 62:25 | 37 | 60 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 47:33 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:34 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:44 | -8 | 39 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 34:48 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Damac | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | -24 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 22:57 | -35 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
