Al-Taawoun vs Damac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 11:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah).

Saudi Professional League - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.98	0.39
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
8	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
89% (416/467)	80% (277/345)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.98	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.74	0.59
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
15	4
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
8	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
34	15
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
89% (416/467)	80% (277/345)
Long passes
68% (27/40)	39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
79% (134/169)	57% (28/49)
Crosses
6% (1/17)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.72	0.39
Throw-ins
11	16
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
56% (10/18)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
42	46
Clearances
13	21
Interceptions
20	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.59	2.74
Goals prevented
-0.41	-2.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Al Ahmad W. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Mandash S. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Vada V. ⚽, Al Anazi D. (A),
40', Al Ghamdi H. 🟥,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', 3 - 1, Harkass J. (Own goal),
55', Vada V. 🟨,
59', David Kaiki 🟥,
60', Medina J. ↓, Rabea H. ↑,
60', Sharahili R. ↓, Abdullah T. ↑,
68', Mandash S. ↓, Al Kuwaykibi M. ↑,
68', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Al Hurayji B. ↑,
68', Fulgini A. ↓, Bahusayn A. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Barrow M. (A),
72', Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
72', Barrow M. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
74', Sylla M. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
80', Vada V. ↓, Al Qahtani A. ↑,
80', Al Anazi D. ↓, Al Khaibre A. R. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Al Hurayji B. ⚽, Al Kuwaykibi M. (A),
88', 6 - 1, Faivre R. ⚽, Adam A. (A),

Chances of winning

Al-Taawoun
57%

Draw
23.9%

Damac
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Taawoun's performance.

Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Taawoun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al-Taawoun - Damac Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.97)	3.86 ↑ (3.42)	5.03 ↑ (3.62)	6.1% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al-Taawoun - Damac?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Taawoun will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 3.
Al-Taawoun is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Damac has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Al-Taawoun is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Al-Taawoun will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Taawoun won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Damac?

Al-Taawoun has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Al-Taawoun?

Damac has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Taawoun - Damac were as follows:

08.03.2025 Al-Taawoun - Damac 3:0

19.10.2024 Damac - Al-Taawoun 2:2

26.04.2024 Damac - Al-Taawoun 0:1

05.11.2023 Al-Taawoun - Damac 0:0

04.03.2023 Damac - Al-Taawoun 1:2

Latest results of Al-Taawoun

25.09.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Taawoun 0:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Taawoun 0:4 ✺

18.09.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 4:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun 2:3 ✺

29.08.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Damac

26.09.2025 Damac - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 1:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Al-Najma - Damac 2:1 ✺

18.09.2025 Al-Kholood - Damac 2:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Damac - Neom 1:2 ✺

28.08.2025 Damac - Al Hazem 1:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	6	6	0	0	21:2	19	18
2	Al Taawon	6	5	0	1	16:10	6	15
3	Al Hilal	6	4	2	0	17:6	11	14
4	Al Qadisiya	6	4	2	0	11:5	6	14
5	Al Ahli SC	6	3	3	0	8:4	4	12
6	Al Khaleej	6	3	1	2	13:6	7	10
7	Al Ittihad	6	3	1	2	11:9	2	10
8	Neom SC	6	3	1	2	8:8	0	10
9	Al Kholood	6	3	0	3	10:8	2	9
10	Al Fayha	6	2	2	2	6:8	-2	8
11	Al Ettifaq	6	2	1	3	7:13	-6	7
12	Al Shabab	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	6
13	Al Riyadh	6	2	0	4	7:15	-8	6
14	Al Hazem	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
15	Al Fateh	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
16	Damac	6	0	2	4	6:15	-9	2
17	Al Okhdood	6	0	1	5	6:14	-8	1
18	Al Najma	6	0	0	6	4:14	-10	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1