Result
1:3
28/01/2026 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (306/357) | 87% (311/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (306/357) | 87% (311/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 71% (39/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (31/67) | 75% (74/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Al Khulaif A. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Danilo Barbosa (Own goal),
- 37', 1 - 2, Al Khulaif A. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
- 45+1', Fallatah S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Moya J. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
- 46', Jaafari I. ↓, Al Muwallad S. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 3, Koulouris E. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
- 76', Al Barakah I. ↓, Sane M. ↑,
- 79', Traore A. ↓, Al Sulaiheem A. ↑,
- 80', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
- 84', Al Sunaytan I. ↓, Sharahili R. ↑,
- 84', Pain C. ↓, Al Malki M. ↑,
- 86', Al Shuwayyi K. 🟨,
- 87', Guanca C. 🟨,
- 88', Nastasic M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Al Majhad M. ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Bukayriyah 21.9% | Draw 27.6% | Al-Ula 50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Bukayriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Bukayriyah's form might have worsened.Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.16 ↑ (3.2) |
3.3 ↑ (3.05) |
1.8 ↓ (2.12) |
9.8% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Al-Ula is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Bukayriyah won against Al-Ula?
Al-Bukayriyah has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ula won against Al-Bukayriyah?
Al-Ula has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula were as follows:
17.09.2025
Al-Ula
-
Al-Bukayriyah
3:0
Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 62:27 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Al-Faisaly | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 53:32 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 41 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:45 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 32:58 | -26 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 12:44 | -32 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27:53 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation