Al-Bukayriyah vs Al-Ula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
28/01/2026 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.512.57
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
18
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
44
Passes
86% (306/357)87% (311/356)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.512.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.003.05
Total shots
818
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
514
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1328
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free kicks
811
Passes
86% (306/357)87% (311/356)
Long passes
49% (21/43)71% (39/55)
Passes in final third
46% (31/67)75% (74/99)
Crosses
50% (5/10)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.47
Throw ins
2017
Fouls
118
Tackles
71% (5/7)80% (4/5)
Duels won
2626
Clearances
2215
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
3.050.00
Goals prevented
0.050.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Al Khulaif A. , Koulouris E. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Danilo Barbosa (Own goal),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Al Khulaif A. , Traore A. (A),
  • 45+1', Fallatah S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Moya J. , Al Nakhli M. ,
  • 46', Jaafari I. , Al Muwallad S. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Koulouris E. , Traore A. (A),
  • 76', Al Barakah I. , Sane M. ,
  • 79', Traore A. , Al Sulaiheem A. ,
  • 80', Al Khulaif A. , Al Nabit S. ,
  • 84', Al Sunaytan I. , Sharahili R. ,
  • 84', Pain C. , Al Malki M. ,
  • 86', Al Shuwayyi K. 🟨,
  • 87', Guanca C. 🟨,
  • 88', Nastasic M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Al Majhad M. , Razzaq A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Bukayriyah
21.9%
Draw
27.6%
Al-Ula
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 29.5% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 29% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Bukayriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Bukayriyah's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (3.2)
    3.3
    (3.05)
    1.8
    (2.12)
    9.8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Al-Ula is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Al-Ula - Al-Bukayriyah 3:0
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    23.01.2026 Al-Orobah - Al-Bukayriyah 3:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1
    11.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    06.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Batin 5:1
    31.12.2025 Jeddah - Al-Bukayriyah 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Ula
    22.01.2026 Al-Ula - Al-Wahda Mecca 3:0
    17.01.2026 Al-Zulfi - Al-Ula 0:0
    12.01.2026 Al-Ula - Al Jubail 3:0
    07.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Ula 3:2
    30.12.2025 Al-Ula - Al-Anwar 1:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah24164456:243252
    3Al-Ula25147451:252649
    4Al Jabalain25147448:272149
    5Al-Faisaly25129451:302145
    6Al Orubah25135740:33744
    7Al Raed25108745:341138
    8Al Bukiryah251041128:36-834
    9Al Zulfi2588931:32-132
    10Al Wehda25951139:43-432
    11Al Taee25871037:38-131
    12Jeddah25710828:32-431
    13Al Anwar2579934:37-330
    14Al Jandal25581220:44-2423
    15Al Adalah25381432:57-2517
    16Al Arabi25441712:43-3116
    17Al Batin24351625:47-2214
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation