Al-Bukayriyah vs Al-Ula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
28/01/2026 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.512.57
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
18
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
44
Passes
86% (306/357)87% (311/356)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.512.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.003.05
Total shots
818
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
514
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1328
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free kicks
811
Passes
86% (306/357)87% (311/356)
Long passes
49% (21/43)71% (39/55)
Passes in final third
46% (31/67)75% (74/99)
Crosses
50% (5/10)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.47
Throw ins
2017
Fouls
118
Tackles
71% (5/7)80% (4/5)
Duels won
2626
Clearances
2215
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
3.050.00
Goals prevented
0.050.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Al Khulaif A. , Koulouris E. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Danilo Barbosa (Own goal),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Al Khulaif A. , Traore A. (A),
  • 45+1', Fallatah S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Moya J. , Al Nakhli M. ,
  • 46', Jaafari I. , Al Muwallad S. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Koulouris E. , Traore A. (A),
  • 76', Al Barakah I. , Sane M. ,
  • 79', Traore A. , Al Sulaiheem A. ,
  • 80', Al Khulaif A. , Al Nabit S. ,
  • 84', Al Sunaytan I. , Sharahili R. ,
  • 84', Pain C. , Al Malki M. ,
  • 86', Al Shuwayyi K. 🟨,
  • 87', Guanca C. 🟨,
  • 88', Nastasic M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Al Majhad M. , Razzaq A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Bukayriyah
21.9%
Draw
27.6%
Al-Ula
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 29.5% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 29% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Bukayriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Bukayriyah's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (3.2)
    3.3
    (3.05)
    1.8
    (2.12)
    9.8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Al-Ula is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Al-Ula - Al-Bukayriyah 3:0
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    23.01.2026 Al-Orobah - Al-Bukayriyah 3:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1
    11.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    06.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Batin 5:1
    31.12.2025 Jeddah - Al-Bukayriyah 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Ula
    22.01.2026 Al-Ula - Al-Wahda Mecca 3:0
    17.01.2026 Al-Zulfi - Al-Ula 0:0
    12.01.2026 Al-Ula - Al Jubail 3:0
    07.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Ula 3:2
    30.12.2025 Al-Ula - Al-Anwar 1:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha ✔ 32245363:293477
    2Al Diriyah32216574:334169
    3Al-Faisaly321910370:323867
    4Al-Ula32198566:313565
    5Al Orubah ✔ 32185949:371259
    6Al Jabalain32158954:381653
    7Al Raed321391057:431448
    8Al Zulfi3211111042:39344
    9Al Taee321281246:46044
    10Al Bukiryah321271334:43-943
    11Al Wehda321171450:56-640
    12Al Anwar329111248:49-138
    13Jeddah328121232:46-1436
    14Al Jandal32781730:56-2629
    15Al Adalah32691741:70-2927
    16Al Arabi32562122:60-3821
    17Al Batin ✔ 32472135:64-2919
    18Al Jubail ✔ 32352428:69-4114

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
    Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Al Batin is Relegated to
    Al Jubail is Relegated to