Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (242/329) | 72% (250/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (242/329) | 72% (250/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/68) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (52/88) | 63% (93/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Quioto R. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Al Mogren A. ⚽,
- 31', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Raphael Silva (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Al Majhad M. 🟨,
- 59', Al Ruwaili K. 🟨,
- 63', Al Ruwaili K. ↓, Al Hussain A. ↑,
- 63', Koulouris E. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
- 72', Al Shanqiti M. 🟨,
- 85', Al Mogren A. ↓, Al Aqeel M. ↑,
- 86', Al Sulaiheem A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
- 86', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Doshy M. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Quioto R. ⚽, Morato (A),
- 88', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
- 88', Al Majhad M. ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
- 90+2', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Fallatah R. ↑,
- 90+6', Morato ↓, Al Solan H. ↑,
- 90+6', Quioto R. ↓, Al Dossari F. ↑,
- 90+9', Al Nabit S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Faisaly
25.9% | Draw
25.6% | Al-Ula
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Faisaly - Al-Ula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(3) |
3.55 ↑
(3.35) |
1.88 ↓
(2.08) |
10%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Faisaly - Al-Ula?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Ula will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
- Al-Faisaly is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Ula is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Ula is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Faisaly won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Faisaly won against Al-Ula?
Al-Faisaly has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ula won against Al-Faisaly?
Al-Ula has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Faisaly - Al-Ula were as follows:
03.11.2025
Al-Ula
-
Al-Faisaly
2:2
Latest results of Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 62:27 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Al-Faisaly | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 53:32 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 41 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:45 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 32:58 | -26 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 12:44 | -32 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27:53 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
