Gaziantep vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.920.79
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
77
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
612
Passes
83% (321/388)82% (341/415)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.920.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.750.49
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
03
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
612
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
33
Free kicks
1514
Passes
83% (321/388)82% (341/415)
Long passes
41% (23/56)60% (34/57)
Passes in final third
55% (47/85)63% (73/115)
Crosses
46% (6/13)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.64
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
1415
Tackles
80% (8/10)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5149
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
56
xGOT faced
0.491.75
Goals prevented
-0.510.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Rodrigues K. , Abena M. ,
  • 33', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Biraschi D. , Kurucuk F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kabasakal M. , Sorescu D. ,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Maxim A. , Bayo M. (A),
  • 59', Camara D. , Gidado V. ,
  • 59', Verde D. , Cukur T. ,
  • 59', Larsson S. , Serginho ,
  • 59', Kranevitter M. , Babicka S. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Serginho , Cukur T. (A),
  • 68', Lungoyi C. 🟨,
  • 69', Sanuc T. T. 🟨,
  • 72', Perez L. , Sangare N. ,
  • 72', Gassama K. , Kabadayi Y. ,
  • 80', Kalayci B. , Kone ,
  • 90+5', Kabadayi Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gaziantep
46.6%
Draw
27%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 24.7% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 23% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gaziantep's form might have worsened.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.82)
    3.48
    (3.83)
    3.59
    (4.04)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 46.4%99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gaziantep will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 4.
    • Recent form of Gaziantep has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gaziantep may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gaziantep is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) Kozlowski K. (Yellow Cards) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Inactive) Cinar A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Biraschi D. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep 0:2
    18.05.2024 Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:1
    23.12.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep 0:3
    13.11.2022 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep 3:3
    Latest results of Gaziantep
    04.03.2026 Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe 0:4
    01.03.2026 Samsunspor - Gaziantep 0:0
    22.02.2026 Gaziantep - Trabzonspor 1:2
    15.02.2026 Kocaelispor - Gaziantep 3:0
    09.02.2026 Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray29215367:224568
    2Fenerbahce29199166:283866
    3Trabzonspor29197356:312564
    4Besiktas29167653:341955
    5Basaksehir29138847:301747
    6Goztepe291211636:261047
    7Samsunspor29912834:38-439
    8Rizespor29991139:40-136
    9Kocaelispor29981224:33-935
    10Konyaspor298101136:41-534
    11Gaziantep298101138:49-1134
    12Alanyaspor29615835:34133
    13Kasimpasa296101328:41-1328
    14Antalyaspor29771530:47-1728
    15Genclerbirligi29671628:42-1425
    16Kayserispor294111421:54-3323
    17Eyupspor29571720:43-2322
    18Karagumruk29551926:51-2520

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig