Alavés C vs Aurrerá de Vitoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 77', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alavés C
40.1%
Draw
30.5%
Aurrerá de Vitoria
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 26.9% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 28.6% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alavés C's form might have worsened.
  • Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurrerá de Vitoria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavés C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurrerá de Vitoria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alavés C - Aurrerá de Vitoria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (1.77)
    3.38
    (3.37)
    3.51
    (4.09)
    -3%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Alavés C is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alavés C
    28.03.2026 Leioa - Alavés C 1:1
    21.03.2026 Alavés C - Eibar C 3:1
    14.03.2026 Añorga - Alavés C 2:0
    08.03.2026 Alavés C - Durango 3:1
    01.03.2026 Aretxabaleta - Alavés C 3:1
    Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete30225362:233971
    2Touring KE30168642:271556
    3Leioa29165842:281453
    4Lagun Onak301641048:282052
    5San Ignacio30147933:231049
    6Alaves C30138951:341747
    7Derio291451047:361147
    8Aurrera de Vitoria301451137:37047
    9Real Sociedad C301341334:35-143
    10UD Aretxabaleta301261248:50-242
    11Durango309101130:31-137
    12Anorga301031733:52-1933
    13Zamudio30951639:50-1132
    14Santurtzi307111227:39-1232
    15Pasaia30881423:40-1732
    16Eibar C30781533:48-1529
    17Zarautz KE30751826:56-3026
    18SD Deusto30571821:39-1822

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