Burgos vs Albacete Balompié – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.08
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
80% (350/436)76% (277/363)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.96
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
139
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
80% (350/436)76% (277/363)
Long passes
53% (31/59)50% (33/66)
Passes in final third
68% (72/106)69% (81/117)
Crosses
39% (7/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.29
Throw-ins
3029
Fouls
1412
Tackles
80% (8/10)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5150
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.960.28
Goals prevented
-0.040.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gonzalez M. , Nino F. ,
  • 46', Appin K. , Cordoba I. ,
  • 63', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Garcia F. ,
  • 69', Escriche D. , Betancor J. ,
  • 69', Morcillo J. , Lazo J. ,
  • 74', Curro , Mejia M. ,
  • 78', Jogo 🟨,
  • 79', Lorenzo , Gamez F. ,
  • 79', Valverde V. , Agus Medina ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Betancor J. , Pepe (A),
  • 84', Morante I. , Mollejo V. ,
  • 85', Garcia F. 🟨,
  • 88', Jogo , Moreno J. ,
  • 90+3', Lizancos A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burgos
47.6%
Draw
31%
Albacete Balompié
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 30.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 30% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.
  • Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albacete Balompié might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albacete Balompié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burgos - Albacete Balompié Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.24)
    3.04
    (3.14)
    4.38
    (3.41)
    6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Burgos - Albacete Balompié?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Burgos will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Burgos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Albacete: Agus Medina (Muscle Injury) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Puertas A. (Yellow Cards) Villar J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Albacete Balompié were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Burgos - Albacete Balompié 1:0
    21.10.2024 Albacete Balompié - Burgos 2:0
    28.01.2024 Burgos - Albacete Balompié 2:1
    16.09.2023 Albacete Balompié - Burgos 2:1
    19.02.2023 Burgos - Albacete Balompié 1:1
    Latest results of Burgos
    04.12.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1
    29.11.2025 Ceuta - Burgos 1:0
    23.11.2025 Burgos - Racing Santander 0:2
    16.11.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 0:2
    10.11.2025 Burgos - Castellón 0:0
    Latest results of Albacete Balompié
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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