Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
86% (566/661)	77% (361/466)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	1.00
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
19	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
4	6
Passes
86% (566/661)	77% (361/466)
Long passes
45% (20/44)	35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
75% (167/222)	72% (70/97)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	0.61
Throw-ins
22	23
Fouls
6	4
Tackles
57% (4/7)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
34	35
Clearances
25	24
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.00	0.72
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Naruse S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Komi Y. (Pen),
32', 1 - 1, Watai M. ⚽, Yamada Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
71', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
72', Takagi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
74', Yamada Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
87', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
87', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
87', Kubo T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Miguel ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
42.4%

Draw
29.9%

Albirex Niigata
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Albirex Niigata aligns with the current prediction.

Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	6.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 1.
Kashiwa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Niigata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Kashiwa have a series of guest games.
Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Albirex Niigata?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

09.11.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1

30.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

24.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 0:0

07.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0

19.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 3:2

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

19.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC 0:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata 0:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
2	Kashima Antlers	26	15	3	8	38:25	13	48
3	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
4	Machida	26	14	4	8	39:25	14	46
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	26	14	4	8	30:18	12	46
6	Vissel Kobe	26	14	4	8	34:25	9	46
7	Urawa Reds	26	12	8	6	36:26	10	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	26	10	9	7	41:32	9	39
9	Cerezo Osaka	26	10	7	9	40:37	3	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	26	9	9	8	27:26	1	36
11	Gamba Osaka	26	10	4	12	29:35	-6	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	26	8	7	11	30:35	-5	31
14	Verdy	26	8	7	11	16:25	-9	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	26	7	7	12	30:37	-7	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	26	6	7	13	22:41	-19	25
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	26	6	6	14	26:34	-8	24
19	Yokohama FC	26	6	4	16	16:32	-16	22
20	Albirex Niigata	26	4	8	14	26:45	-19	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League