Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
86% (566/661)	77% (361/466)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	1.00
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
19	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
4	6
Passes
86% (566/661)	77% (361/466)
Long passes
45% (20/44)	35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
75% (167/222)	72% (70/97)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	0.61
Throw-ins
22	23
Fouls
6	4
Tackles
57% (4/7)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
34	35
Clearances
25	24
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.00	0.72
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Naruse S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Komi Y. (Pen),
32', 1 - 1, Watai M. ⚽, Yamada Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
71', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
72', Takagi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
74', Yamada Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
87', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
87', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
87', Kubo T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Miguel ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
42.4%

Draw
29.9%

Albirex Niigata
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Albirex Niigata aligns with the current prediction.

Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	6.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 1.
Kashiwa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Niigata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Kashiwa have a series of guest games.
Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Albirex Niigata?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

09.11.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1

30.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

24.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 0:0

07.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0

19.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 3:2

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

19.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC 0:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata 0:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League