Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
86% (566/661) | 77% (361/466) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.72 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
86% (566/661) | 77% (361/466) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (20/44) | 35% (23/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (167/222) | 72% (70/97) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.22 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (4/7) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.00 | 0.72 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Naruse S. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Komi Y. (Pen),
- 32', 1 - 1, Watai M. ⚽, Yamada Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 71', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 72', Takagi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
- 74', Yamada Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 87', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 87', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 87', Kubo T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
- 90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Miguel ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol 42.4% | Draw 29.9% | Albirex Niigata 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Albirex Niigata aligns with the current prediction.
Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↓ (2.23) |
3.14 ↓ (3.18) |
3.42 ↑ (3.37) |
6.2% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 1.
- Kashiwa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Niigata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Kashiwa have a series of guest games.
- Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Albirex Niigata?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
09.11.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Albirex Niigata
1:1
30.03.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
24.06.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Albirex Niigata
0:0
07.05.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
19.04.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Albirex Niigata
3:2
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League