Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/406) | 82% (326/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/406) | 82% (326/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/67) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/106) | 68% (89/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Shirai E. ⚽, Moraes (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
- 45+4', Marcinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Tashiro R. 🟨,
- 57', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 63', Marcinho ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
- 71', Uemura H. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
- 72', Ohara M. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 77', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 83', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 85', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
- 87', Ito T. ↓, Noda H. ↑,
- 87', Erison ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
- 90+4', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
25.1% | Draw
26% | Kawasaki Frontale
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↓
(4.05) |
3.72 ↓
(4.05) |
2.01 ↑
(1.7) |
3.1%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
- Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kawasaki is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
Uremovic F.
(Red Card)
van Wermeskerken S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Albirex Niigata has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Albirex Niigata?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
25.06.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Albirex Niigata
3:1
13.10.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Albirex Niigata
0:2
09.10.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kawasaki Frontale
4:1
27.09.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Albirex Niigata
5:1
22.06.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:1
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
