Result
3:1
25/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
35% | 65% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
82% (266/326) | 92% (540/588) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.44 | 1.38 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
82% (266/326) | 92% (540/588) |
Long passes |
---|
23% (7/30) | 52% (17/33) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (57/85) | 79% (100/127) |
Crosses |
---|
56% (5/9) | 13% (4/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.77 | 0.42 |
Throw-ins |
---|
6 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 50% (4/8) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 22 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.38 | 2.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.38 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Wakizaka Y. ⚽,
- 34', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Kanda S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Horigome Y. 🟨,
- 66', Takagi Y. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 66', Arai T. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
- 66', Ono Y. ↓, Hasegawa M. ↑,
- 68', Kanda S. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 68', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 79', Jesiel ↓, Maruyama Y. ↑,
- 79', Kawahara S. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 85', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 85', Danilo Gomes ↓, Ota S. ↑,
- 88', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Ozeki Y. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Okumura J. ⚽,
- 90+10', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale 54.6% | Draw 24.7% | Albirex Niigata 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3%)
Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.91) |
3.81 ↑ (3.76) |
4.51 ↑ (3.91) |
5.6% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Kawasaki (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1.
- Kawasaki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Kawasaki is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison
(Knee Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Albirex Niigata?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Albirex Niigata has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
13.10.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Albirex Niigata
0:2
09.10.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kawasaki Frontale
4:1
27.09.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Albirex Niigata
5:1
22.06.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:1
29.09.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Albirex Niigata
2:3
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League