Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki).

J1 League - Round 15
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.76
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
4	7
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
82% (266/326)	92% (540/588)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.44	1.38
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
17	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
8	8
Passes
82% (266/326)	92% (540/588)
Long passes
23% (7/30)	52% (17/33)
Passes in final third
67% (57/85)	79% (100/127)
Crosses
56% (5/9)	13% (4/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	0.42
Throw-ins
6	17
Fouls
8	8
Tackles
69% (9/13)	50% (4/8)
Duels won
36	22
Clearances
33	18
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
1.38	2.44
Goals prevented
0.38	-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Wakizaka Y. ⚽,
34', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Kanda S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Horigome Y. 🟨,
66', Takagi Y. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
66', Arai T. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
66', Ono Y. ↓, Hasegawa M. ↑,
68', Kanda S. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
68', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
79', Jesiel ↓, Maruyama Y. ↑,
79', Kawahara S. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
85', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
85', Danilo Gomes ↓, Ota S. ↑,
88', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Ozeki Y. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
90+5', 3 - 1, Okumura J. ⚽,
90+10', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kawasaki Frontale
54.6%

Draw
24.7%

Albirex Niigata
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3%)

Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.91)	3.81 ↑ (3.76)	4.51 ↑ (3.91)	5.6% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Kawasaki (votes: 3 - 100%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1.
Kawasaki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Kawasaki is the team to beat.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Albirex Niigata?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Albirex Niigata has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

13.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 0:2

09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 4:1

27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 5:1

22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1

29.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 2:3

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

21.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Yokohama FC - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Fukushima United 4:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fukuyama City 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League