Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.31
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
80% (323/406)82% (326/398)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.13
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1926
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
118
Passes
80% (323/406)82% (326/398)
Long passes
33% (22/67)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
63% (67/106)68% (89/130)
Crosses
31% (5/16)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.98
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
813
Tackles
70% (7/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3636
Clearances
3319
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.131.80
Goals prevented
0.130.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Shirai E. ⚽, Moraes (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
  • 45+4', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Tashiro R. 🟨,
  • 57', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
  • 63', Marcinho ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
  • 71', Uemura H. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
  • 72', Ohara M. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
  • 77', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
  • 83', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
  • 85', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
  • 87', Ito T. ↓, Noda H. ↑,
  • 87', Erison ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
  • 90+4', Fujiwara S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
25.1%		Draw
26%		Kawasaki Frontale
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 22.8% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 18.9% 45.1%

Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.77 ↓
(4.05)		 3.72 ↓
(4.05)		 2.01 ↑
(1.7)		 3.1%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 50.9% – 95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
    • Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Kawasaki is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury) Uremovic F. (Red Card) van Wermeskerken S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1
    13.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 0:2
    09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 4:1
    27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 5:1
    22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    11.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺
    20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺
    05.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺
    29.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia 0:4 ✺
    25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺
    20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺
    16.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagamihara 0:1 ✺
    05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺
    29.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers ✔ 36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC ✔ 36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
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