Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.31
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
80% (323/406)82% (326/398)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.13
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1926
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
118
Passes
80% (323/406)82% (326/398)
Long passes
33% (22/67)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
63% (67/106)68% (89/130)
Crosses
31% (5/16)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.98
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
813
Tackles
70% (7/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3636
Clearances
3319
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.131.80
Goals prevented
0.130.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Shirai E. , Moraes (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ito T. ,
  • 45+4', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Tashiro R. 🟨,
  • 57', Moraes , Shimamura T. ,
  • 63', Marcinho , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 71', Uemura H. , Arai T. ,
  • 72', Ohara M. , Taniguchi K. ,
  • 77', Tachibanada K. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 83', Hasegawa M. , Yamura K. ,
  • 85', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
  • 87', Ito T. , Noda H. ,
  • 87', Erison , Kanda S. ,
  • 90+4', Fujiwara S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
25.1%
Draw
26%
Kawasaki Frontale
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 22.8% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 18.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (4.05)
    3.72
    (4.05)
    2.01
    (1.7)
    3.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
    • Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Kawasaki is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury) Uremovic F. (Red Card) van Wermeskerken S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1
    13.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 0:2
    09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 4:1
    27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 5:1
    22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League