Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
09/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.94
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
820
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
77% (186/243)90% (496/549)
Yellow Cards
50
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.392.07
Total shots
820
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1526
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
77% (186/243)90% (496/549)
Long passes
28% (13/46)60% (15/25)
Passes in final third
61% (40/66)87% (181/209)
Crosses
29% (2/7)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.98
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1710
Tackles
43% (3/7)88% (15/17)
Duels won
3359
Clearances
1316
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.070.39
Goals prevented
-1.93-1.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Tachibanada K. , Marcinho (A),
  • 15', Uremovic F. 🟥,
  • 17', Ito T. , Jesiel ,
  • 22', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Nago S. ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Erison ,
  • 35', 2 - 2, Erison (Own goal),
  • 45+7', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 59', Iwasaki Y. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 64', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Nago S. (Pen),
  • 71', Sasaki A. 🟨,
  • 72', Erison , Romanic L. ,
  • 72', Yamamoto Y. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 74', Kamijima T. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 74', Shigemi M. , Wellington ,
  • 78', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 78', Marcinho , Ienaga A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 4, Usui S. , Nago S. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 5, Konno K. , Fujimoto K. (A),
  • 90+1', Usui S. , Akino H. ,
  • 90+1', Konno K. , Ben Khalifa N. ,
  • 90+5', Ienaga A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
54.2%
Draw
25.8%
Avispa Fukuoka
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 27.4% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.9)
    3.76
    (3.52)
    4.91
    (4.05)
    3.4%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kawasaki Frontale will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kawasaki is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Marcinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2
    08.12.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1
    06.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1
    20.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2
    08.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers131002121:932
    2FC Tokyo13732127:1329
    3Machida12541220:1824
    4Verdy12530419:1621
    5Kawasaki Frontale13521520:2320
    6Mito13234419:2716
    7Urawa Reds13403618:1915
    8Yokohama F. Marinos13500820:2415
    9Kashiwa Reysol13310916:2011
    10Chiba13203813:249


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe12713123:1326
    2Nagoya Grampus13523323:1922
    3Gamba Osaka14353323:2122
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima13521521:1820
    5Kyoto12431419:1619
    6Cerezo Osaka13431515:1319
    7Shimizu S-Pulse13324416:1817
    8Okayama13324417:2417
    9Avispa Fukuoka14332617:2517
    10V-Varen Nagasaki13501713:2016

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)