Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:0
31/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.18
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
75% (231/308)82% (378/462)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.06
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
75% (231/308)82% (378/462)
Long passes
36% (20/55)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)66% (69/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.180.68
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
1016
Tackles
69% (11/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5740
Clearances
2538
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.061.26
Goals prevented
0.06-1.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Fitzgerald M. , Inamura H. ,
  • 46', Junker K. , Morishima T. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Izumi R. , Morishima T. (A),
  • 64', Nakayama K. , Uchida T. ,
  • 70', Hashimoto K. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 70', Arai T. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 75', Nagai K. 🟨,
  • 75', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 76', Izumi R. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 83', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 83', Taniguchi K. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Kikuchi T. , Uchida T. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. , Kikuchi T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
44.5%
Draw
29.8%
Albirex Niigata
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 29.2% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 29.4% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.94)
    3.15
    (3.22)
    3.68
    (4.22)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4.
    • Nagoya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Niigata's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
    • Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 4:3
    18.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0
    09.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    05.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 1:0
    01.04.2023 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League