Result
3:0
31/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.39 | 0.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
75% (231/308) | 82% (378/462) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.39 | 0.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.26 | 0.06 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
75% (231/308) | 82% (378/462) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (20/55) | 42% (23/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (76/117) | 66% (69/104) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (5/24) | 13% (2/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.18 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 3 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.06 | 1.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | -1.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Inamura H. ↑,
- 46', Junker K. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Izumi R. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
- 64', Nakayama K. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
- 70', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
- 70', Arai T. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
- 75', Nagai K. 🟨,
- 75', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 76', Izumi R. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 83', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 83', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Kikuchi T. ⚽, Uchida T. (A),
- 90+2', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Kikuchi T. (A),
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus 44.5% | Draw 29.8% | Albirex Niigata 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↑ (1.94) |
3.15 ↓ (3.22) |
3.68 ↓ (4.22) |
6.4% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4.
- Nagoya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Niigata's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
- Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Albirex Niigata?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Nagoya Grampus?
Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
02.11.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Albirex Niigata
4:3
18.09.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Albirex Niigata
3:0
09.03.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
05.08.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Albirex Niigata
1:0
01.04.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League