Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

J1 League - Round 19
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.39	0.18
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
17	6
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
75% (231/308)	82% (378/462)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39	0.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.26	0.06
Total shots
17	6
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
10	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
31	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
75% (231/308)	82% (378/462)
Long passes
36% (20/55)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)	66% (69/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.18	0.68
Throw-ins
21	26
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
69% (11/16)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
57	40
Clearances
25	38
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	3
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.06	1.26
Goals prevented
0.06	-1.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Inamura H. ↑,
46', Junker K. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Izumi R. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
64', Nakayama K. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
70', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
70', Arai T. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
75', Nagai K. 🟨,
75', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
76', Izumi R. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
83', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
83', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Kikuchi T. ⚽, Uchida T. (A),
90+2', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Kikuchi T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
44.5%

Draw
29.8%

Albirex Niigata
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

29.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.94)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	3.68 ↓ (4.22)	6.4% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1% – 85.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4.
Nagoya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Niigata's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Albirex Niigata?

Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Nagoya Grampus?

Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

02.11.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 4:3

18.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0

09.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:0

05.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 1:0

01.04.2023 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:3

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama 0:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

25.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2 ✺

18.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League