Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata).

J1 League - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.16
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
82% (398/486)	76% (327/430)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.00
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
1	0
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
21	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
4	17
Passes
82% (398/486)	76% (327/430)
Long passes
33% (20/60)	42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
71% (105/147)	57% (64/112)
Crosses
29% (9/31)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.23
Throw-ins
26	25
Fouls
17	4
Tackles
44% (4/9)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
24	48
Clearances
16	33
Interceptions
14	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.00	0.04
Goals prevented
0.00	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Takagi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
57', Asano Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
61', Takagi Y. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
61', Shimamura T. ↓, Moraes ↑,
72', Nogami Y. 🟨,
73', Nogami Y. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
73', Kimura Y. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
73', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
73', Taniguchi K. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
90+1', Uchida T. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Albirex Niigata
34.6%

Draw
29.3%

Nagoya Grampus
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

28.2%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)	3.23 ↓ (3.36)	2.61 ↑ (2.35)	5.4% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 57.1% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Nagoya has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Kawazura A. (Ankle Injury) Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Red Card)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Nagoya Grampus?

Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Albirex Niigata?

Nagoya Grampus has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

31.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0

02.11.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 4:3

18.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0

09.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:0

05.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 1:0

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

20.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

20.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:4 ✺

23.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 3:4 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League