Result
2:0
03/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Di Munno A. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Marconi M. ⚽,
- 41', Travaglini C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Dimarco C. 🟨,
- 51', Galli G. 🟨,
- 54', Di Munno A. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 54', Renelus B. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
- 55', Bagatti N. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 0, Bright K. ⚽,
- 70', Bagatti N. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
- 71', Giudici L. ↓, Ricordi T. ↑,
- 72', Ciappellano D. 🟨,
- 81', Bright K. ↓, Lopes E. ↑,
- 84', Morselli F. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
- 88', Citterio G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alcione
47.1% | Draw
30.6% | Pro Patria
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Alcione - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.98) |
3
(3) |
4.11 ↑
(3.95) |
8.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcione - Pro Patria?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alcione will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Recent form of Alcione has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pro Patria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pro Patria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alcione is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alcione won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alcione won against Pro Patria?
Alcione has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Alcione?
Pro Patria has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Pro Patria were as follows:
17.08.2025
Pro Patria
-
Alcione
1:2
06.04.2025
Pro Patria
-
Alcione
0:0
24.11.2024
Alcione
-
Pro Patria
2:0
26.08.2023
Alcione
-
Pro Patria
3:3
Latest results of Alcione
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
