Alcione vs Pro Patria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
88
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Di Munno A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Marconi M. ,
  • 41', Travaglini C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Dimarco C. 🟨,
  • 51', Galli G. 🟨,
  • 54', Di Munno A. , Citterio G. ,
  • 54', Renelus B. , Udoh K. ,
  • 55', Bagatti N. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Bright K. ,
  • 70', Bagatti N. , Schiro T. ,
  • 71', Giudici L. , Ricordi T. ,
  • 72', Ciappellano D. 🟨,
  • 81', Bright K. , Lopes E. ,
  • 84', Morselli F. , Olivieri D. ,
  • 88', Citterio G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alcione
47.1%
Draw
30.6%
Pro Patria
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 30.5% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 29% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Alcione - Pro Patria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.98)
    3
    (3)
    4.11
    (3.95)
    8.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Alcione - Pro Patria?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alcione will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Recent form of Alcione has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pro Patria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pro Patria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alcione is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alcione won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Pro Patria were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Pro Patria - Alcione 1:2
    06.04.2025 Pro Patria - Alcione 0:0
    24.11.2024 Alcione - Pro Patria 2:0
    26.08.2023 Alcione - Pro Patria 3:3
    Latest results of Alcione
    29.10.2025 Atalanta U23 - Alcione 2:1
    26.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Alcione 1:1
    17.10.2025 Alcione - Inter U23 1:2
    11.10.2025 Pergolettese - Alcione 0:2
    05.10.2025 Alcione - Vicenza Virtus 0:1
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    26.10.2025 Pro Patria - Ospitaletto 0:0
    19.10.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    12.10.2025 Pro Patria - Brescia 0:2
    05.10.2025 Pro Patria - Trento 2:2
    29.09.2025 Cittadella - Pro Patria 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza29226149:153472
    2Brescia29168543:202356
    3Lecco29148735:231250
    4Trento291212542:291348
    5Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    6Renate29139737:261148
    7Cittadella29137935:32346
    8Inter U23291011833:30341
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    11Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    12Novara29618529:28136
    13Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    14AlbinoLeffe298101138:41-334
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi29781424:46-2229
    18Virtus Verona293121427:42-1521
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina29761630:41-114

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation