Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 72', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Moncarapachense
27.1% | Draw
32.1% | Alcochetense
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcochetense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcochetense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Moncarapachense - Alcochetense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.57) |
2.82 ↓
(2.9) |
2.22 ↓
(2.66) |
10.5%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Alcochetense?
Moncarapachense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcochetense won against Moncarapachense?
Alcochetense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Alcochetense were as follows:
24.08.2025
Alcochetense
-
Moncarapachense
1:2
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Latest results of Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Louletano | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 38 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | Serpa | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Moncarapachense | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 30 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 30:27 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Oriental | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
