Result
0:3
16/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Martinez E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Moreno G. ⚽, Palma A. (A),
- 5', 0 - 2, del Campo R. ⚽, Dominguez M. (A),
- 11', Zamora D. 🟨,
- 15', Cruz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lopez E. ↓, Esqueda Romero J. A. ↑,
- 46', Mascorro H. ↓, Vazquez Hernandez A. ↑,
- 46', Barreda I. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
- 46', Arellano A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
- 51', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 3, del Campo R. ⚽, Dominguez M. (A),
- 70', Justo A. ↓, Ayala D. ↑,
- 71', Figueroa B. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 74', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
- 78', Dominguez M. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
- 78', Palma A. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 78', del Campo R. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
- 88', Munoz Z. 🟨,
- 89', Martinez J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25.4% | Draw
25.8% | Atlético Morelia
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Morelia's recent form is better than expected.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.03) |
3.57 ↑
(3.33) |
1.89 ↓
(2.11) |
8.4%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético Morelia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Morelia will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Atlético Morelia?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Atlético Morelia has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
09.08.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:1
08.02.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
25.08.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
13.04.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlético Morelia
3:3
04.10.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0:0
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
