Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Vazquez Hernandez A. ⚽, Meza S. (A),
- 27', Estopier J. 🟨,
- 35', Santos E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Santos E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pineda D. ↓, Olaguez E. ↑,
- 54', Arce R. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Arce R. ⚽,
- 57', Sarmiento M. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
- 66', Aguilar A. 🟨,
- 66', Aguilar A. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 67', Olaguez E. 🟨,
- 74', Cisneros D. 🟨,
- 78', Hernandez E. ↓, Rubli G. ↑,
- 78', Cisneros D. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
- 78', Arce R. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 89', Mascorro H. ↓, Carballo E. ↑,
- 89', Meza S. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
60.5% | Draw
21.9% | Correcaminos UAT
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alebrijes de Oaxaca's performance.Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correcaminos UAT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alebrijes de Oaxaca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.71) |
4.27 ↑
(3.85) |
5.3 ↑
(4.01) |
7.1%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Correcaminos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Correcaminos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Alebrijes de Oaxaca is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Correcaminos UAT?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Correcaminos UAT has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
28.02.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Correcaminos UAT
0:1
12.09.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:3
06.02.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Correcaminos UAT
1:0
29.08.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
7:0
24.02.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Correcaminos UAT
4:0
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
