Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Ferrer J. ⚽,
- 31', Illescas F. 🟨,
- 32', Escoboza A. 🟨,
- 33', Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Robles C. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 2, Razo L. ⚽,
- 56', Corona N. 🟨,
- 56', Corona N. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 56', Escoboza A. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
- 57', Millan O. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 59', Torres E. 🟨,
- 63', Yanez J. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 63', Ferrer J. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
- 70', Razo L. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez C. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
- 70', Illescas F. ↓, Vazquez I. ↑,
- 70', Soto A. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
- 84', Vazquez I. 🟨,
- 86', Torres E. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 90+1', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟥,
- 90+3', Flores S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
40.3% | Draw
27.1% | Jaiba Brava
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.6) |
3.41 ↑
(3.31) |
2.84 ↑
(2.51) |
8.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Atlético La Paz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaiba Brava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Jaiba Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Jaiba Brava?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Atlético La Paz?
Jaiba Brava has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
22.04.2026
Jaiba Brava
-
Atlético La Paz
2:0
27.03.2026
Atlético La Paz
-
Jaiba Brava
1:1
18.10.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Atlético La Paz
3:2
22.02.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Atlético La Paz
2:0
06.09.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Jaiba Brava
2:1
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final
