Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 28
  • Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
97
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
126
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Corner kicks
97
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1013
Throw ins
3120
Fouls
129

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
  • 22', Collins J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Gindorf L. , Schroers M. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Gindorf L. , Loune M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Stefaniak M. , Clausen M. ,
  • 46', Ocansey V. A. F. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 46', Guttau J. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Malone R. , Weinhauer E. (A),
  • 60', da Silva Kiala J. , Yarbrough L. ,
  • 69', Loune M. , Ademi F. ,
  • 76', Fallmann P. , Schmid M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Nadjombe P. , Ademi F. (A),
  • 81', Simnica L. , Fabisch J. ,
  • 84', Ademi F. 🟨,
  • 88', Schroers M. , Sillah O. ,
  • 88', Gindorf L. , Castelle N. H. ,
  • 88', Wagner M. , Strujic S. ,
  • 90+6', Ehlers J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
35.5%
Draw
26.8%
Alemannia Aachen
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.3% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.2% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.4)
    3.47
    (3.48)
    2.49
    (2.59)
    7.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aachen will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Aue is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Aachen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1
    08.02.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen 1:1
    31.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Alemannia Aachen
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck32197654:272764
    2RW Essen321710565:501561
    3Cottbus32179661:441760
    4Duisburg32169755:421357
    5Hansa Rostock321511657:362156
    6Verl32159871:442754
    7Munich 1860321481047:43450
    8Alemannia Aachen321461257:52548
    9Wehen321461243:40348
    10Mannheim321451351:56-547
    11Viktoria Koln321351446:44244
    12Regensburg321261444:48-442
    13Stuttgart II321261440:51-1142
    14Ingolstadt3210101251:44740
    15Hoffenheim II321161559:58139
    16Saarbrucken328131142:47-537
    17Ulm32851941:63-2229
    18TSV Havelse32681847:73-2626
    19Aue32591837:60-2324
    20Schweinfurt32522530:76-4617

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