Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Wiebe D. ↓, da Silva Kiala J. ↑,
- 34', 0 - 1, Fallmann P. ⚽, Guttau J. (A),
- 45+1', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Schmid M. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
- 53', Schroers M. 🟨,
- 61', Castelle N. H. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
- 62', Gaudino G. ↓, Elekwa E. ↑,
- 65', Guttau J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 66', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 73', Schroers M. ↓, Sulejmani V. ↑,
- 73', Heister F. ↓, Strujic S. ↑,
- 74', Clausen M. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
- 85', Barylla A. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
- 86', Zobel T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Simnica L. 🟨,
- 90+7', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alemannia Aachen
47.1% | Draw
25.3% | Erzgebirge Aue
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alemannia Aachen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.95) |
3.67 ↑
(3.5) |
3.43 ↓
(3.5) |
6.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Aachen (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Aue (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Aachen (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alemannia Aachen will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Aachen (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aue (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Aachen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aue is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aachen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alemannia Aachen won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Alemannia Aachen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Alemannia Aachen?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
08.02.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Alemannia Aachen
1:1
31.08.2024
Alemannia Aachen
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:2
Latest results of Alemannia Aachen
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cottbus | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 51:38 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | Duisburg | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 46:32 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | VfL Osnabruck | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Verl | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 60:38 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | RW Essen | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 48:41 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Wehen | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Ingolstadt | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 44:34 | 10 | 36 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 35 |
| 12 | Stuttgart II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim II | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 32 |
| 14 | Alemannia Aachen | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 42:46 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 | Regensburg | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 28 |
| 17 | Aue | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28:40 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 33:51 | -18 | 23 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 35:55 | -20 | 19 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 25 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 10 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
