Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue
Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 9
  • Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1311
Throw-ins
3317
Fouls
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Wiebe D. , da Silva Kiala J. ,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Fallmann P. , Guttau J. (A),
  • 45+1', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Schmid M. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 53', Schroers M. 🟨,
  • 61', Castelle N. H. , Ademi F. ,
  • 62', Gaudino G. , Elekwa E. ,
  • 65', Guttau J. , Simnica L. ,
  • 66', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
  • 73', Schroers M. , Sulejmani V. ,
  • 73', Heister F. , Strujic S. ,
  • 74', Clausen M. , Ehlers J. ,
  • 85', Barylla A. , Tashchy B. ,
  • 86', Zobel T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Simnica L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Alemannia Aachen
47.1%
Draw
25.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 26.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 22.9% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alemannia Aachen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.95)
    3.67
    (3.5)
    3.43
    (3.5)
    6.5%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alemannia Aachen will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alemannia Aachen will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Aachen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aue is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aachen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen 1:1
    31.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Alemannia Aachen
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1073022:91324
    2Cottbus1062224:141020
    3Saarbrucken1154221:16519
    4VfL Osnabruck1154215:10519
    5Verl1154223:19419
    6RW Essen1154222:19319
    7Stuttgart II1153315:15018
    8Hoffenheim II1152424:17717
    9Viktoria Koln1152416:11517
    10Mannheim1151520:18216
    11Wehen1144314:14016
    12Ingolstadt1135320:15514
    13Hansa Rostock1135311:12-114
    14Ulm1041517:18-113
    15Munich 18601033414:17-312
    16Aue1132610:18-811
    17Alemannia Aachen1131717:21-410
    18Regensburg102269:16-78
    19TSV Havelse1004611:23-124
    20Schweinfurt1110107:30-233

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