Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue
30/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alemannia Aachen
46.4%
Draw
25.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 26.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 22.9% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alemannia Aachen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.95)
    3.64
    (3.5)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    7.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Aachen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aue is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aachen could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen 1:1
    31.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Alemannia Aachen
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg871020:71322
    2Saarbrucken852118:11717
    3Cottbus842218:11714
    4Hoffenheim II741217:10713
    5VfL Osnabruck73319:5412
    6Verl733115:12312
    7Viktoria Koln740310:7312
    8Wehen833213:11212
    9RW Essen833216:16012
    10Munich 1860832312:14-211
    11Stuttgart II83239:14-511
    12Mannheim831414:12210
    13Alemannia Aachen831415:16-110
    14Hansa Rostock82425:7-210
    15Ulm730410:12-29
    16Ingolstadt814313:1217
    17Aue82157:14-77
    18Regensburg71156:13-74
    19TSV Havelse80448:16-84
    20Schweinfurt81075:20-153

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