Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats


Aces
0	0
Double Faults
1	0
1st Serve Percentage
59%	52%
1st Serve Points Won
32% (6/19)	75% (12/16)
2nd Serve Points Won
15% (2/13)	80% (12/15)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)	0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
25% (4/16)	68% (13/19)
2nd Return Points Won
20% (3/15)	85% (11/13)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)	75% (6/8)
Winners
1	7
Unforced Errors
23	8
Net Points Won
0% (0/2)	100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
25% (8/32)	77% (24/31)
Return Points Won
23% (7/31)	75% (24/32)
Total Points Won
24% (15/63)	76% (48/63)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
0% (0/6)	100% (6/6)
Return Games Won
0% (0/6)	100% (6/6)
Total Games Won
0% (0/12)	100% (12/12)

Chances of winning

Grigor Dimitrov
38.3%

Alex De Minaur
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+1%)

Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.36)		1.53 ↓ (1.56)	5.8% (6.5%)

What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur?

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). De Minaur will win (votes: 34 - 79.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 66.9% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 Games - De Minaur (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 1.
Now both players are in good shape.
Dimitrov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
De Minaur will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.52.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Grigor Dimitrov won against Alex De Minaur?

Grigor Dimitrov has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Grigor Dimitrov?

Alex De Minaur has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur were as follows:

17.02.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 0:2

17.02.2023 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 2:1

Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov

10.04.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov 0:2 ✺

28.03.2025 Novak Djokovic - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺

26.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Alex De Minaur

10.04.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur 1:2 ✺

25.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺

24.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M. (Q)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
3	Lehecka J.	Korda S.	2 : 0
4	Bu Y. (Q)	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
5	Rune H. (RET.) (10)	Borges N.	0 : 1
6	Sonego L.	Martinez P.	1 : 2
7	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
10	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
11	Struff J-L.	Vacherot V. (WC)	0 : 2
12	Jarry N.	Dimitrov G. (15)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (9)	Khachanov K.	2 : 1
14	Muller A.	Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Machac T.	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (8)
17	Draper J. (5)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
19	Etcheverry T. M.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Davidovich Fokina A.	Shelton B. (11)	2 : 1
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Popyrin A.	Humbert U.	2 : 1
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Nakashima B.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Ruud C. (4)
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
26	Monfils G.	Marozsan F. (Q)	2 : 1
27	Lajovic D. (Q)	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
28	Griekspoor T.	Fils A. (12)	1 : 2
29	Auger-Aliassime F. (16)	Altmaier D. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Arnaldi M.	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 2
31	Fognini F. (WC)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Berrettini M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J.	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
3	Borges N.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Thompson J.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	1 : 2
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
6	Vacherot V.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Muller A.	2 : 1
8	Machac T.	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Giron M.	2 : 0
10	Etcheverry T. M.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (14)	Popyrin A.	1 : 2
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Ruud C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
14	Cobolli F.	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
15	Altmaier D.	Gasquet R.	2 : 1
16	Cerundolo F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Berrettini M.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 2
2	Borges N.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	0 : 2
3	Tabilo A.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Draper J. (5)	Davidovich Fokina A.	1 : 2
6	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (4)	2 : 1
7	Rublev A. (7)	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
8	Altmaier D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 1
2	Dimitrov G. (15)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
4	Fils A. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	De Minaur A. (8)	2 : 1
2	Davidovich Fokina A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Musetti L. (13)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 2