Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo
Result
0:2
11/04/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceEurosport 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
59%52%
1st Serve Points Won
32% (6/19)75% (12/16)
2nd Serve Points Won
15% (2/13)80% (12/15)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
25% (4/16)68% (13/19)
2nd Return Points Won
20% (3/15)85% (11/13)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)75% (6/8)
Winners
17
Unforced Errors
238
Net Points Won
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
25% (8/32)77% (24/31)
Return Points Won
23% (7/31)75% (24/32)
Total Points Won
24% (15/63)76% (48/63)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
0% (0/6)100% (6/6)
Return Games Won
0% (0/6)100% (6/6)
Total Games Won
0% (0/12)100% (12/12)

Chances of winning


Grigor Dimitrov
38.3%		Alex De Minaur
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.49 ↑
    (2.36)
    		1.53 ↓
    (1.56)    		 5.8%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - De Minaur (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 Games - De Minaur (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3 Games - De Minaur (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +2 Games - De Minaur (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 Games - De Minaur (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • H/A, 2nd Set - De Minaur (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Games - De Minaur (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 Games - De Minaur (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - De Minaur (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - De Minaur (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - De Minaur (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 Games - De Minaur (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 Sets - De Minaur (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +2.5 Games - De Minaur (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 Games - De Minaur (1.66) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 Games - De Minaur (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +3.5 Games - De Minaur (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - De Minaur (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Dimitrov (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (34 of 43 users predict this - 79.07%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.91% – 91.23%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 6 - 12%). De Minaur (votes: 44 - 88%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 1.
    • Now both players are in good shape.
    • Dimitrov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • De Minaur will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.52.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 0:2
    17.02.2023 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 2:1
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    10.04.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    08.04.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov 0:2 ✺
    28.03.2025 Novak Djokovic - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺
    26.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    10.04.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur 1:2 ✺
    25.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺
    24.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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