Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo
Result
0:2
11/04/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceEurosport 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
59%52%
1st Serve Points Won
32% (6/19)75% (12/16)
2nd Serve Points Won
15% (2/13)80% (12/15)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
25% (4/16)68% (13/19)
2nd Return Points Won
20% (3/15)85% (11/13)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)75% (6/8)
Winners
17
Unforced Errors
238
Net Points Won
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
25% (8/32)77% (24/31)
Return Points Won
23% (7/31)75% (24/32)
Total Points Won
24% (15/63)76% (48/63)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
0% (0/6)100% (6/6)
Return Games Won
0% (0/6)100% (6/6)
Total Games Won
0% (0/12)100% (12/12)

Chances of winning


Grigor Dimitrov
38.3%		Alex De Minaur
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 62.7%

Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.49 ↑
(2.36)
1.53 ↓
(1.56)		 5.8%
(6.5%)
What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). De Minaur will win (votes: 34 - 79.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 66.9% – 91.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - De Minaur (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 Games - De Minaur (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3 Games - De Minaur (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 Games - De Minaur (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 Games - De Minaur (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Set - De Minaur (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Games - De Minaur (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 Games - De Minaur (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - De Minaur (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - De Minaur (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - De Minaur (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 Games - De Minaur (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 Sets - De Minaur (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games - De Minaur (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games - De Minaur (1.66) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 Games - De Minaur (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games - De Minaur (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - De Minaur (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Dimitrov (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 6 - 12%). De Minaur (votes: 44 - 88%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 1.
    • Now both players are in good shape.
    • Dimitrov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • De Minaur will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.52.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 0:2
    17.02.2023 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur 2:1
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    10.04.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    08.04.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov 0:2 ✺
    28.03.2025 Novak Djokovic - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺
    26.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    10.04.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur 1:2 ✺
    25.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺
    24.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2
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