Alexander Bublik vs Yosuke Watanuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Indian Wells
Tennis ATP Indian Wells Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki
Result
1:2
05/03/2025 at 22:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event

Match Stats

Aces
1313
Double Faults
82
1st Serve Percentage
53%64%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (35/43)76% (37/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (17/38)67% (18/27)
Break Points Saved
82% (9/11)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
24% (12/49)19% (8/43)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (9/27)55% (21/38)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)18% (2/11)
Winners
2937
Unforced Errors
3021
Net Points Won
78% (7/9)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
64% (52/81)72% (55/76)
Return Points Won
28% (21/76)36% (29/81)
Total Points Won
46% (73/157)54% (84/157)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
55.1%		Yosuke Watanuki
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.
  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↑
    (1.58)
    		2.12 ↓
    (2.4)    		 4.9%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 15.4% – 84.6%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bublik is ranked ATP: 82. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 349.
    • Bublik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Watanuki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    25.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger 1:2 ✺
    18.02.2025 Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik 2:0 ✺
    12.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert 0:2 ✺
    11.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Richard Gasquet 2:0 ✺
    04.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    04.03.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Rudy Quan 2:0
    03.03.2025 Mattia Bellucci - Yosuke Watanuki 0:2 ✺
    22.02.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Pavel Kotov 0:2
    15.02.2025 Christopher OConnell - Yosuke Watanuki 2:1 ✺
    10.02.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Kecmanovic M.Griekspoor T.1 : 2
    3Marozsan F.Martinez P.2 : 0
    4ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (29)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Bublik A.Watanuki Y. (Q)1 : 2
    7Bautista-Agut R.Dzumhur D. (Q)1 : 2
    8ByeTiafoe F. (16)
    9Rune H. (12)Bye
    10Moutet C.Thompson J.2 : 1
    11Munar J.Nishikori K.1 : 2
    12ByeHumbert U. (18)
    13Berrettini M. (28)Bye
    14Carballes Baena R.O'Connell C.1 : 2
    15Seyboth Wild T.Muller A.2 : 1
    16ByeTsitsipas S. (8)
    17Ruud C. (4)Bye
    18Giron M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    19Bergs Z.Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    20ByePopyrin A. (26)
    21Fils A. (20)Bye
    22Zhang Z.Diallo G. (LL)1 : 2
    23Safiullin R.Opelka R. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeMusetti L. (15)
    25Paul T. (10)Bye
    26Boyer T. (WC)Vukic A.2 : 1
    27Norrie C.Nardi L.2 : 0
    28ByeLehecka J. (23)
    29Michelsen A. (31)Bye
    30Smith C. (Q)Cobolli F.2 : 1
    31Bu Y.Basavareddy N. (WC)2 : 0
    32ByeMedvedev D. (5)
    33Rublev A. (7)Bye
    34Arnaldi M.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    35Shevchenko A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    36ByeNakashima B. (32)
    37Khachanov K. (22)Bye
    38Etcheverry T. M.Mensik J.0 : 2
    39Navone M.Tien L.2 : 0
    40ByeShelton B. (11)
    41Draper J. (13)Bye
    42Fearnley J.Fonseca J. (WC)1 : 2
    43Bonzi B.Brooksby J. (PR)1 : 2
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (17)
    45Tabilo A. (30)Bye
    46Tu L. (Q)Lajovic D.0 : 2
    47Gigante M. (Q)Baez S.2 : 1
    48ByeFritz T. (3)
    49Djokovic N. (6)Bye
    50Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)Kyrgios N. (RET.) (PR)1 : 0
    51McDonald M. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 1
    52ByeCerundolo F. (25)
    53Hurkacz H. (21)Bye
    54Darderi L.Gaston H. (Q)0 : 2
    55Goffin D.Sonego L.2 : 0
    56ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    57Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    58Rinderknech A.Borges N.1 : 2
    59Struff J-L.Monfils G.0 : 2
    60ByeKorda S. (24)
    61Shapovalov D. (27)Bye
    62Zeppieri G. (Q)Walton A. (Q)0 : 2
    63Halys Q.Carreno-Busta P. (Q)2 : 0
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Griekspoor T.1 : 2
    2Marozsan F. (RET.)Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)0 : 1
    3Machac T. (RET.) (19)Watanuki Y.1 : 0
    4Dzumhur D.Tiafoe F. (16)0 : 2
    5Rune H. (12)Moutet C.2 : 0
    6Nishikori K.Humbert U. (18)0 : 2
    7Berrettini M. (28)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    8Seyboth Wild T.Tsitsipas S. (8)0 : 2
    9Ruud C. (4)Giron M.1 : 2
    10Bergs Z.Popyrin A. (26)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (20)Diallo G.2 : 0
    12Safiullin R.Musetti L. (15)1 : 2
    13Paul T. (10)Boyer T.2 : 0
    14Norrie C.Lehecka J. (23)2 : 1
    15Michelsen A. (31)Smith C.2 : 0
    16Bu Y.Medvedev D. (5)0 : 2
    17Rublev A. (7)Arnaldi M.0 : 2
    18Hijikata R.Nakashima B. (32)0 : 2
    19Khachanov K. (22)Mensik J.2 : 1
    20Navone M.Shelton B. (11)0 : 2
    21Draper J. (13)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    22Brooksby J.Auger-Aliassime F. (17)2 : 0
    23Tabilo A. (30)Lajovic D.2 : 0
    24Gigante M.Fritz T. (3)0 : 2
    25Djokovic N. (6)Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    26McDonald M.Cerundolo F. (25)1 : 2
    27Hurkacz H. (21)Gaston H.2 : 0
    28Goffin D.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    29Dimitrov G. (14)Borges N.2 : 0
    30Monfils G.Korda S. (24)2 : 0
    31Shapovalov D. (27)Walton A.2 : 0
    32Halys Q.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Griekspoor T.Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)2 : 0
    2Watanuki Y.Tiafoe F. (16)2 : 0
    3Rune H. (12)Humbert U. (18)2 : 1
    4Berrettini M. (28)Tsitsipas S. (8)0 : 2
    5Giron M.Popyrin A. (26)2 : 1
    6Fils A. (20)Musetti L. (15)2 : 1
    7Paul T. (10)Norrie C.2 : 0
    8Michelsen A. (RET.) (31)Medvedev D. (5)0 : 0
    9Arnaldi M.Nakashima B. (32)0 : 2
    10Khachanov K. (22)Shelton B. (11)0 : 2
    11Draper J. (13)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    12Tabilo A. (30)Fritz T. (3)1 : 2
    13Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F. (25)0 : 2
    14Hurkacz H. (21)De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    15Dimitrov G. (14)Monfils G.2 : 1
    16Shapovalov D. (27)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Griekspoor T.Watanuki Y.2 : 0
    2Rune H. (12)Tsitsipas S. (8)2 : 0
    3Giron M.Fils A. (20)1 : 2
    4Paul T. (10)Medvedev D. (5)0 : 2
    5Nakashima B. (32)Shelton B. (11)0 : 2
    6Draper J. (13)Fritz T. (3)2 : 0
    7Cerundolo F. (25)De Minaur A. (9)2 : 0
    8Dimitrov G. (14)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Griekspoor T.Rune H. (12)1 : 2
    2Fils A. (20)Medvedev D. (5)1 : 2
    3Shelton B. (11)Draper J. (13)0 : 2
    4Cerundolo F. (25)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rune H. (12)Medvedev D. (5)2 : 0
    2Draper J. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Rune H. (12)Draper J. (13)0 : 2
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