Alexander Bublik vs Yosuke Watanuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Indian Wells
Result
1:2
05/03/2025 at 22:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event

Match Stats

Aces
1313
Double Faults
82
1st Serve Percentage
53%64%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (35/43)76% (37/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (17/38)67% (18/27)
Break Points Saved
82% (9/11)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
24% (12/49)19% (8/43)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (9/27)55% (21/38)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)18% (2/11)
Winners
2937
Unforced Errors
3021
Net Points Won
78% (7/9)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
64% (52/81)72% (55/76)
Return Points Won
28% (21/76)36% (29/81)
Total Points Won
46% (73/157)54% (84/157)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
55.1%		Yosuke Watanuki
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.
  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↑
    (1.58)
    		2.12 ↓
    (2.4)    		 4.9%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 15.4% – 84.6%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bublik is ranked ATP: 82. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 349.
    • Bublik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Watanuki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    25.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger 1:2 ✺
    18.02.2025 Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik 2:0 ✺
    12.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert 0:2 ✺
    11.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Richard Gasquet 2:0 ✺
    04.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    04.03.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Rudy Quan 2:0
    03.03.2025 Mattia Bellucci - Yosuke Watanuki 0:2 ✺
    22.02.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Pavel Kotov 0:2
    15.02.2025 Christopher OConnell - Yosuke Watanuki 2:1 ✺
    10.02.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.1 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)2 : 1
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Kopriva V. (LL)0 : 2
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Korda S.Comesana F.2 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)2 : 0
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.0 : 2
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)Borges N.2 : 0
    4Shevchenko A.Ruud C. (13)0 : 2
    5Bublik A. (10)Kopriva V.2 : 1
    6Hijikata R.Darderi L. (20)2 : 1
    7Norrie C. (27)McDonald M.2 : 0
    8Korda S.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Djokovic N. (3)Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    10Kovacevic A.Moutet C. (31)2 : 0
    11Cerundolo F. (19)Bonzi B.2 : 1
    12Bautista-Agut R.Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14Baez S.Lehecka J. (22)2 : 0
    15Humbert U. (32)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    16Fearnley J.Fritz T. (7)1 : 2
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    18Prizmic D. (RET.)Fils A. (30)0 : 1
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.1 : 2
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.1 : 2
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)0 : 2
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 1
    2Vacherot V. (24)Ruud C. (13)1 : 2
    3Bublik A. (10)Hijikata R.1 : 2
    4Norrie C. (27)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 0
    5Djokovic N. (3)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Cerundolo F. (19)Draper J. (14)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (11)Baez S.2 : 0
    8Michelsen A.Fritz T. (7)2 : 0
    9Fucsovics M.Fils A. (30)0 : 2
    10Diallo G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    11Cobolli F. (15)Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    12Nakashima B. (28)Zverev A. (4)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (8)Tien L. (25)1 : 2
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Mensik J. (12)2 : 1
    15Fonseca J.Paul T. (23)2 : 0
    16Shapovalov D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (13)2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Norrie C. (27)0 : 2
    3Djokovic N. (3)Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (11)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    5Fils A. (30)Auger-Aliassime F. (9)2 : 0
    6Tiafoe F. (21)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    7Tien L. (25)Davidovich Fokina A. (18)2 : 1
    8Fonseca J.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C. (27)2 : 0
    2Draper J. (14)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    3Fils A. (30)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    4Tien L. (25)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    2Zverev A. (4)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (11)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2
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