Marine vs Alfreton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Sinclair-Smith F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 59', 1 - 1, Ligendza S. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Ligendza S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', 2 - 2, Newell G. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Salmon L. ,

Chances of winning


Marine
45.9%
Draw
28.7%
Alfreton Town
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 25.1% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 25% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfreton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfreton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marine - Alfreton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.12)
    3.2
    (3.7)
    3.66
    (2.99)
    8.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Marine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alfreton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Alfreton has had a series of home games.
    • Marine will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marine - Alfreton Town were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Alfreton Town - Marine 2:0
    29.03.2025 Marine - Alfreton Town 0:0
    10.12.2024 Alfreton Town - Marine 1:0
    Latest results of Marine
    14.04.2026 Marine - Merthyr Town 1:3
    11.04.2026 Darlington - Marine 2:3
    06.04.2026 Marine - Chorley 2:1
    03.04.2026 Southport - Marine 2:1
    31.03.2026 Fylde - Marine 2:0
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    14.04.2026 Alfreton Town - Buxton 2:2
    06.04.2026 Leamington - Alfreton Town 1:2
    31.03.2026 Alfreton Town - Chorley 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)