Result
1:3
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 41
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Drysdale D. 🟥,
- 9', 0 - 1, Maddox J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 66', 0 - 2, Maddox J. ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 3, Thomas J. ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 3, Fielding S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marine
44.7% | Draw
25.3% | Merthyr Town
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marine's performance.Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marine that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marine - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.37) |
3.66 ↓
(3.68) |
3.1 ↑
(2.47) |
7.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 8).
- In recent matches, Marine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Merthyr has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Marine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marine won against Merthyr Town?
Marine has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Marine?
Merthyr Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marine - Merthyr Town were as follows:
19.08.2025
Merthyr Town
-
Marine
1:3
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |
