Aliaga vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:6
14/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 2
  • Referee: Aldemir M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Aliaga
23.2%
Draw
23.1%
Samsunspor
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
6.9% 17.1% 75.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaga's performance.
  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Aliaga - Samsunspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (12.86)
    3.96
    (5.19)
    1.71
    (1.17)
    8.6%
    (12.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Aliaga - Samsunspor?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aliaga will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Aliaga (1.57) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Aliaga (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25, 1st Half - Aliaga (2.16) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Aliaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Aliaga has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is the clear favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aliaga
    24.12.2025 Igdirspor - Aliaga 2:2
    20.12.2025 Bursaspor - Aliaga 0:0
    12.12.2025 Menemenspor - Aliaga 2:1
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    06.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor 2:0
    24.12.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 2:1
    21.12.2025 Göztepe - Samsunspor 2:0
    18.12.2025 Mainz - Samsunspor 2:0
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray44008:3512
    2Trabzonspor430113:499
    3Alanyaspor42118:447
    4Basaksehir42028:716
    5Karagumruk41215:6-15
    6Boluspor40221:6-52
    7Istanbulspor AS40222:9-72
    8Fethiyespor40131:7-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor330010:379
    2Konyaspor33008:179
    3Genclerbirligi32106:427
    4Igdir FK31119:454
    5Eyupspor31115:504
    6Aliaga30124:13-91
    7Bodrumspor30033:7-40
    8Antalyaspor30030:8-80


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas32106:247
    2Gaziantep32018:626
    3Fenerbahce32015:326
    4Rizespor31116:514
    5Kocaelispor31114:314
    6Erzurumspor31024:6-23
    7Keciorengucu31024:9-53
    8Beyoglu Yeni Carsi30122:5-31


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alanyaspor42118:447
    2Genclerbirligi32106:427
    3Fenerbahce32015:326

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