Result
14/04/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
31% | Draw
29.9% | Alianza Lima
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.8) |
3.1
(3.1) |
2.38 ↓
(2.43) |
7.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
- ADT has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Alianza Lima?
ADT Tarma has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against ADT Tarma?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima were as follows:
16.08.2025
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
3:1
29.03.2025
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Lima
3:0
10.08.2024
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
01.03.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Lima
2:0
21.10.2023
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
