Result
1:2
05/11/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 83% (308/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 83% (308/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (48/83) | 62% (59/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 31', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
- 45+2', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 2, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Lagos R. (A),
- 63', Pimienta C. 🟨,
- 69', Mogollon E. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
- 69', Palomino J. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Camargo I. ⚽, Bueno P. (A),
- 74', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 75', Castillo E. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
- 81', Ceppelini P. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
- 81', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
- 84', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Manzaneda J. ↓, Santiago G. ↑,
- 90+2', Torres F. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
- 90+2', Castillo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
24.2% | Draw
27.5% | Alianza Lima
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Los Chankas - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(2.62) |
3.37 ↓
(3.45) |
1.92 ↓
(2.48) |
8.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Alianza Lima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).
- In recent matches, Los Chankas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alianza Lima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alianza Lima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Los Chankas: Quiroz A.
(Injury)
Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Chavez G.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Alianza Lima?
Los Chankas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Los Chankas?
Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Alianza Lima were as follows:
18.04.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Los Chankas
1:0
24.08.2024
Los Chankas
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
28.03.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Los Chankas
3:0
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
