Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/10/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
  • Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.11
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (344/422)62% (155/249)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.07
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
187
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
82% (344/422)62% (155/249)
Long passes
61% (43/70)33% (26/79)
Passes in final third
73% (104/142)43% (33/77)
Crosses
12% (3/26)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.37
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
1715
Tackles
71% (5/7)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.071.00
Goals prevented
0.071.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Torres E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aponza J. , Montoya J. ,
  • 51', Torres E. 🟨,
  • 65', Del Valle A. , Gil M. ,
  • 65', Munoz J. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 69', Luis Orejuela , Viafara F. ,
  • 69', Estupinan A. , Moreno J. ,
  • 71', Torres E. , Figueroa J. ,
  • 72', Aponza Cantonil S. A. 🟨,
  • 75', Quintero Y. , Camacho S. ,
  • 83', Fernandez W. , Pardo F. ,
  • 83', Rosales Y. , Mosquera F. ,
  • 90', Hurtado A. , Galindo J. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ye28dksk

Chances of winning


Deportivo Cali
48.1%
Draw
28.1%
Alianza Valledupar
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 29.2% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 30% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.02)
    3.31
    (3.16)
    3.85
    (3.66)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cali: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Alianza (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alianza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 3.
    • Deportivo Cali is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alianza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportivo Cali is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali 2:0
    22.07.2024 Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar 1:0
    26.01.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali 3:3
    01.10.2023 Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar 1:0
    22.04.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali 0:3
    Latest results of Deportivo Cali
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Bogotu00e1852114:12217
    2Atl. Nacional650115:41115
    3Dep. Pasto84319:8115
    4America De Cali741211:5613
    5Once Caldas834113:10313
    6Deportes Tolima833210:7312
    7Junior740312:10212
    8Bucaramanga725010:4611
    9Dep. Cali832310:7311
    10Aguilas73229:8111
    11Llaneros82429:8110
    12Santa Fe924310:12-210
    13Fortaleza82429:12-310
    14Jaguares de Cordoba73138:13-510
    15Millonarios82248:10-28
    16Ind. Medellin814310:12-27
    17Cucuta813412:16-46
    18Pereira70437:11-44
    19Chico81167:13-64
    20Alianza70343:14-113

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