Result
2:0
11/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 0.94 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
76% (201/265) | 85% (393/462) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 7 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 0.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.38 | 0.09 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
76% (201/265) | 85% (393/462) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (26/49) | 61% (41/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (59/86) | 71% (123/174) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/16) | 29% (9/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.30 | 1.45 |
Throw-ins |
---|
7 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
32 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.09 | 0.38 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Bustamante R. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Pardo F. ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 0, Pardo F. ⚽, Vergara C. (A),
- 23', Bustamante R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 45+1', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 45+5', Moreno J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Viafara F. 🟨,
- 58', Castillo J. ↓, Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↑,
- 58', Manjarres R. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 58', Viafara F. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
- 58', Colorado J. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
- 61', Munoz J. 🟨,
- 64', Mejia V. 🟨,
- 65', Mendoza Benitez D. A. 🟨,
- 69', Pardo F. 🟨,
- 70', Mejia V. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez E. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
- 78', Munoz J. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
- 78', Vergara C. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 84', Pardo F. ↓, Caracas Torres J. S. ↑,
- 89', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5d4xhpay
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar 39.1% | Draw 32.3% | Deportivo Cali 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.12) |
2.93 ↓ (3.25) |
3.26 ↑ (3.25) |
5.6% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Valledupar will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0.
- Alianza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo Cali's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo Cali?
Alianza Valledupar has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Cali has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
22.07.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
26.01.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Cali
3:3
01.10.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
22.04.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Cali
0:3
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )