Result
6:1
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
- Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (254/311) | 74% (176/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (254/311) | 74% (176/238) |
| Long passes |
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| 38% (18/47) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (56/80) | 54% (33/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 33 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -2.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. (Own goal),
- 15', 2 - 0, Vergara C. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 38', 3 - 0, Colpa Bolano R. R. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Albornoz O. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
- 46', Angulo L. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 61', Pardo F. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 65', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 68', Angulo J. ↓, Campos J. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 1, Gil M. ⚽,
- 79', Fernandez O. ↓, Zea J. ↑,
- 79', Torres E. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 80', Vergara C. ↓, Caracas Torres J. S. ↑,
- 80', Garcia J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 85', Molina T. 🟨,
- 87', 5 - 1, Figueroa J. ⚽,
- 90', Fernandez W. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
- 90', Perlaza E. ↓, Arenas J. ↑,
- 90+4', 6 - 1, Valoyes J. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5c6addcd
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
45.7% | Draw
25% | Independiente Santa Fe
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Valledupar's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.5) |
3.7 ↑
(3.05) |
3.21 ↑
(2.75) |
6.8%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Alianza (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alianza Valledupar will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Valledupar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Santa Fe is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.
- Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alianza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
26.09.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
03.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
17.09.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:1
09.04.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
3:1
10.10.2022
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
4:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
