Alianza Valledupar vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Copa Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
1:1
28/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Colombia - Second stage - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
30
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
157
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
30
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Angulo J. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Mosquera H. , Rodriguez A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Angulo J. , Sosa J. ,
  • 46', Torres J. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 46', Osorio J. , Lucumi C. ,
  • 46', Villegas C. , Munoz J. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 60', Parra J. , Perez Balcazar J. E. ,
  • 60', Velasquez Y. , Torres D. ,
  • 60', Rodriguez A. , Lopez E. ,
  • 67', Perez E. , Valencia L. ,
  • 76', Zapata A. , Palacios M. ,
  • 78', Del Valle A. (Pen),
  • 83', Del Valle A. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 84', Manjarres R. 🟨,
  • 86', Melendez J. 🟨,
  • 88', Mosquera F. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 90+1', Palacios M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdzexb99

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
32.4%
Draw
33%
Independiente Santa Fe
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 34.7% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 34.6% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.68)
    2.79
    (2.65)
    2.64
    (2.98)
    8.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe 6:1
    26.09.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    03.03.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1
    17.09.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar 0:1
    09.04.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe 3:1
    Draw
    Second stage

    1/8-finals
    1Ind. MedellinFortaleza0 : 0
    2Santa FeAlianza1 : 1
    3Real CundinamarcaPereira3 : 4
    4MillonariosEnvigado
    5America De CaliBucaramanga0 : 1
    6Atletico F.C.Junior0 : 2
    7Atl. NacionalQuindio4 : 0
    8Once CaldasDep. Pasto2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2