Result
1:0
13/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 20
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (215/290) | 82% (317/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (215/290) | 82% (317/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/92) | 63% (64/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 36', Sosa J. 🟨,
- 38', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 44', Zapata A. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 45+5', Moreno K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Mosquera H. ⚽, Torres D. (A),
- 56', Castillo J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 56', Moreno K. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 71', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 72', Manjarres R. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 75', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 78', Perlaza E. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 78', Moreno Y. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 83', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 85', Velasquez Y. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Aponza Cantonil S. A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/t79tavmd
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
51.4% | Draw
27.6% | Alianza Valledupar
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82
(1.82) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
4.47 ↑
(4.29) |
7.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Santa Fe is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Alianza Valledupar has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
09.09.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
4:1
28.08.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
25.05.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
6:1
26.09.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
03.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
