Result
6:1
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
- Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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11 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Passes |
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82% (254/311) | 74% (176/238) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.81 | 0.67 |
Total shots |
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11 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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13 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 13 |
Passes |
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82% (254/311) | 74% (176/238) |
Long passes |
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38% (18/47) | 55% (22/40) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (56/80) | 54% (33/61) |
Crosses |
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38% (5/13) | 10% (1/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.32 | 0.38 |
Throw-ins |
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9 | 17 |
Fouls |
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13 | 12 |
Tackles |
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73% (8/11) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
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33 | 32 |
Clearances |
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13 | 10 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.67 | 2.81 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.33 | -2.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. (Own goal),
- 15', 2 - 0, Vergara C. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 38', 3 - 0, Colpa Bolano R. R. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Albornoz O. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
- 46', Angulo L. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 61', Pardo F. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 65', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 68', Angulo J. ↓, Campos J. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 1, Gil M. ⚽,
- 79', Fernandez O. ↓, Zea J. ↑,
- 79', Torres E. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 80', Vergara C. ↓, Caracas Torres J. S. ↑,
- 80', Garcia J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 85', Molina T. 🟨,
- 87', 5 - 1, Figueroa J. ⚽,
- 90', Fernandez W. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
- 90', Perlaza E. ↓, Arenas J. ↑,
- 90+4', 6 - 1, Valoyes J. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5c6addcd
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar 45.7% | Draw 25% | Independiente Santa Fe 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Valledupar's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.5) |
3.7 ↑ (3.05) |
3.21 ↑ (2.75) |
6.8% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Alianza (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alianza Valledupar will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Valledupar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Santa Fe is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.
- Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alianza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
26.09.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
03.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
17.09.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:1
09.04.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
3:1
10.10.2022
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
4:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )