Result
0:3
31/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/390) | 80% (243/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/390) | 80% (243/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (68/125) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Vasquez Ortega E. O. (A),
- 28', Pinto O. 🟨,
- 33', Otavio Gut 🟨,
- 37', Canela Torres J. J. 🟨,
- 42', Dulanto G. 🟨,
- 45+1', Perez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pinto O. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
- 46', Montenegro D. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Mena Y. ⚽, Duran J. (A),
- 69', Perez A. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 69', Moyano A. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 69', Ampuero A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 80', Duran J. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Canela Torres J. J. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
- 87', Fernandez A. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,
- 89', Lliuya M. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
- 89', Perleche A. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
- 90+1', Vasquez Ortega E. O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
59.6% | Draw
22.8% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-3%)
ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.43) |
4.1 ↓
(4.8) |
5.32 ↓
(6.25) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, ADT has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Universidad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, ADT is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Campodonico R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against ADT Tarma?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
23.02.2025
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
-
ADT Tarma
2:3
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
