ADT Tarma vs Alianza Universidad de Huánuco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Result
0:3
31/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.93
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (304/390)80% (243/303)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.491.73
Total shots
118
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
78% (304/390)80% (243/303)
Long passes
39% (25/64)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
54% (68/125)63% (50/80)
Crosses
19% (5/26)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.49
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1716
Tackles
75% (12/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
937
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.730.49
Goals prevented
-1.270.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Mena Y. , Vasquez Ortega E. O. (A),
  • 28', Pinto O. 🟨,
  • 33', Otavio Gut 🟨,
  • 37', Canela Torres J. J. 🟨,
  • 42', Dulanto G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Pinto O. , Hidalgo A. ,
  • 46', Montenegro D. , Bazan N. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Mena Y. , Duran J. (A),
  • 69', Perez A. , Soto J. ,
  • 69', Moyano A. , Rengifo H. ,
  • 69', Ampuero A. , Mendieta J. ,
  • 80', Duran J. , Guevara B. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Canela Torres J. J. , Lliuya M. (A),
  • 87', Fernandez A. , Garcilazo J. ,
  • 89', Lliuya M. , Sernaque J. ,
  • 89', Perleche A. , Iraola G. ,
  • 90+1', Vasquez Ortega E. O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
59.6%
Draw
22.8%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 19.5% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 18.9% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.43)
    4.1
    (4.8)
    5.32
    (6.25)
    7.1%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, ADT has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza Universidad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, ADT is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Campodonico R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADT Tarma 2:3
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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