Result
2:0
18/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Segura R. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (275/337) | 81% (307/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (275/337) | 81% (307/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (58/80) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Bolivar J. ⚽, Guarderas R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ibarguen J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
- 46', Escobar J. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
- 60', Garro J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 66', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 70', Gomez A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 70', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Barco J. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A),
- 83', Duran J. ↓, Saffadi D. ↑,
- 85', Bolivar J. 🟨,
- 86', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 87', de la Cruz P. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 87', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 90+2', Bolivar J. ↓, Trelles A. ↑,
- 90+4', Perleche A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
65.6% | Draw
22.1% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.74) |
4.52 ↑
(3.72) |
8.52 ↑
(4.59) |
4.5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Grau will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
- Grau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Universidad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza Universidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Grau is seen as the favorite.
- There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Atlético Grau?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
17.04.2025
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
