Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/09/2025 at  16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
 
                                                - Referee: Segura R. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.54 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (275/337) | 81% (307/380) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.54 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.35 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 14 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 22 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (275/337) | 81% (307/380) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 49% (28/57) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (58/80) | 65% (60/92) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 33% (6/18) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.54 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 12 | 20 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 22 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 80% (8/10) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 42 | 50 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 16 | 12 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.80 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.20 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 15', 1 - 0, Bolivar J. ⚽, Guarderas R. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', Ibarguen J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑, 
 - 46', Escobar J. ↓, Duran J. ↑, 
 - 60', Garro J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑, 
 - 66', Gomez A. 🟨, 
 - 70', Gomez A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑, 
 - 70', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Barco J. ↑, 
 - 72', 2 - 0, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A), 
 - 83', Duran J. ↓, Saffadi D. ↑, 
 - 85', Bolivar J. 🟨, 
 - 86', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑, 
 - 87', de la Cruz P. ↓, Rodas E. ↑, 
 - 87', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑, 
 - 90+2', Bolivar J. ↓, Trelles A. ↑, 
 - 90+4', Perleche A. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Atlético Grau  65.6% | Draw  22.1% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco  12.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.45 ↓ (1.74) | 
			   4.42 ↑ (3.72) | 
			   7.92 ↑ (4.59) | 
			   4.3% (6.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 2 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Atlético Grau will win 
                    (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
 - Grau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Alianza Universidad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
 - Alianza Universidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Grau is seen as the favorite.
 - There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
 - In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
                    
                    
                        
                            Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.04.2025 
                                Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Atlético Grau                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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