Atlético Grau vs Alianza Universidad de Huánuco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
Referee: Segura R. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.54
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
82% (275/337)	81% (307/380)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.80	0.35
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
14	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	22
Passes
82% (275/337)	81% (307/380)
Long passes
53% (31/59)	49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
73% (58/80)	65% (60/92)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.54
Throw-ins
12	20
Fouls
22	12
Tackles
60% (9/15)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
42	50
Clearances
16	12
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.35	1.80
Goals prevented
0.35	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bolivar J. ⚽, Guarderas R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ibarguen J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
46', Escobar J. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
60', Garro J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
66', Gomez A. 🟨,
70', Gomez A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
70', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Barco J. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A),
83', Duran J. ↓, Saffadi D. ↑,
85', Bolivar J. 🟨,
86', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
87', de la Cruz P. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
87', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
90+2', Bolivar J. ↓, Trelles A. ↑,
90+4', Perleche A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atlético Grau
65.6%

Draw
22.1%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

27.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.74)	4.42 ↑ (3.72)	7.92 ↑ (4.59)	4.3% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?

Users Predictions: Atlético Grau will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Grau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
Grau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alianza Universidad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza Universidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Grau is seen as the favorite.
There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?

Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Atlético Grau?

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:

17.04.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Atlético Grau 0:0

Latest results of Atlético Grau

31.08.2025 Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma 2:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Cienciano - Atlético Grau 1:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Los Chankas - Atlético Grau 3:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

14.09.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano 0:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 1:2 ✺

11.08.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 1:1 ✺

05.08.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes 0:2 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cajamarca	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
2	Alianza Lima	4	3	1	0	5:2	3	10
3	FBC Melgar	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
4	U. de Deportes	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
5	Los Chankas	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
6	Sporting Cristal	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
7	FC Cajamarca	4	1	2	1	7:7	0	5
8	Deportivo Garcilaso	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
9	Alianza Atl	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
10	Cienciano	4	1	1	2	8:6	2	4
11	Sport Huancayo	4	1	1	2	5:5	0	4
12	Cusco	4	1	1	2	4:4	0	4
13	Sport Boys	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4
14	Comerciantes Unidos	4	1	1	2	4:6	-2	4
15	AD Tarma	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4
16	Juan Pablo II	4	1	1	2	6:12	-6	4
17	Moquegua	4	1	0	3	3:8	-5	3
18	Grau	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

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