Result
2:0
17/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (343/406) | 79% (246/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (343/406) | 79% (246/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (50/70) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Rizzo G. ⚽, Quintana A. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Pimienta C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
- 46', Camargo I. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
- 54', Pimienta C. 🟨,
- 62', Camacho H. 🟨,
- 64', Ruidiaz R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Franco E. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
- 71', Quintero J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
- 74', Sanchez K. 🟨,
- 85', Quiroz A. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
- 85', Rizzo G. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
- 85', Tapia R. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
- 85', de la Cruz A. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
- 89', Rodas E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Torres F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 90+2', Sanchez K. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
52.8% | Draw
27.4% | Atlético Grau
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Los Chankas - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.54) |
3.39 ↓
(3.85) |
4.73 ↓
(6.6) |
7.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Atlético Grau?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Los Chankas (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Los Chankas will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 2.
- Los Chankas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Grau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Los Chankas is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Los Chankas: Gonzalez H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grau: Camargo I.
(Injury)
- We predict that Los Chankas will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Atlético Grau?
Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Los Chankas?
Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Atlético Grau were as follows:
10.08.2025
Los Chankas
-
Atlético Grau
3:2
10.03.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Los Chankas
2:1
21.08.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Los Chankas
1:1
15.03.2024
Los Chankas
-
Atlético Grau
0:1
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
