Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Universidad de Huánuco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Santos C. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.92
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
79% (211/266)83% (260/313)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.16
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
79% (211/266)83% (260/313)
Long passes
61% (30/49)55% (33/60)
Passes in final third
64% (53/83)68% (38/56)
Crosses
31% (8/26)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.19
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1316
Tackles
60% (3/5)92% (11/12)
Duels won
3343
Clearances
523
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.162.15
Goals prevented
0.161.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Vasquez Ortega E. O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Duran J. , Mendieta J. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Mena Y. , Lliuya M. (A),
  • 52', Ampuero A. 🟨,
  • 60', Erustes P. (Pen),
  • 64', Celi Y. , Arancibia F. ,
  • 71', Gallardo J. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 72', Canela Torres J. J. , Campodonico R. ,
  • 75', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 76', Lojas J. 🟨,
  • 80', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 83', Ascues C. , Sernaque J. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Naya E. , Arancibia F. (A),
  • 88', Lliuya M. , Fuentes P. ,
  • 90+1', Fuentes P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gomez N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
57.9%
Draw
23.9%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 22.8% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 22.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.7)
    3.93
    (4.1)
    5.06
    (4.2)
    7.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Garcilaso will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Deportivo Garcilaso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza Universidad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Canales E. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Barco J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )