Result
1:1
17/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (253/309) | 74% (210/283) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (253/309) | 74% (210/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (26/44) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (72/103) | 56% (43/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (6/44) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Pardo F. (A),
- 16', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Berdugo L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', Duarte Barajas E. M. 🟨,
- 43', Calcaterra D. 🟨,
- 45', Abonia Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
- 46', Valencia L. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 46', Fiorelli F. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
- 53', Arizalas E. 🟨,
- 59', Arizalas E. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
- 59', Castaneda F. ↓, Beltran H. ↑,
- 60', Londono K. 🟨,
- 63', Pardo F. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
- 70', Hernandez L. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 75', Castillo J. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 76', Berdugo L. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
- 77', Abonia Y. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 80', Fernandez W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
- 90+7', Franco P. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/t67aeu59
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar 45.4% | Draw 30.9% | Cúcuta Deportivo 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (1.89) |
3.02 ↓ (3.11) |
3.98 ↓ (4.35) |
7.1% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alianza is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Alianza Valledupar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Alianza Valledupar?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo were as follows:
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )