Unión La Calera vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Unión La Calera - Alianza Valledupar
Result
0:1
30/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.87
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
109
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
57
Free Kicks
1114
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
2120
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1411
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
157103
Dangerous Attacks
7442

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 45', Franco P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Rebolledo R. , Fiamengo D. ,
  • 56', Matus E. , Ulloa D. ,
  • 62', Colpa Bolano R. R. , Manjarres R. ,
  • 62', Torres M. , Gil M. ,
  • 65', Munoz M. , Hauche G. ,
  • 72', Romo B. 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Figueroa J. (Pen),
  • 74', Castillo J. , Orozco S. ,
  • 74', Munoz J. , Batalla E. ,
  • 74', Perez C. , Huerta R. ,
  • 74', Gigliotti E. , Morales Olivares M. G. ,
  • 89', Renteria A. , Blanco R. ,

Chances of winning


Unión La Calera
48.7%
Draw
28.9%
Alianza Valledupar
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 25.5% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 25.1% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Unión La Calera - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.61)
    3.25
    (3.63)
    4.12
    (5.53)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Alianza Valledupar?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Unión La Calera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Unión La Calera is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    03.04.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Unión La Calera 0:1
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2