FC Eindhoven vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 28
  • Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.741.71
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
88
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
410
Passes
80% (335/417)78% (342/441)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.741.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.072.10
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
1413
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2532
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
811
Passes
80% (335/417)78% (342/441)
Long passes
53% (43/81)51% (33/65)
Passes in final third
63% (80/126)62% (78/125)
Crosses
38% (8/21)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.211.31
Throw ins
1114
Fouls
118
Tackles
25% (4/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5744
Clearances
4322
Interceptions
92
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
2.102.07
Goals prevented
0.10-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Muller T. 🟨,
  • 35', de Haan M. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Blummel S. ⚽, Simons T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
  • 54', Blomme X. 🟨,
  • 58', Blomme X. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
  • 59', Muller T. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Bijleveld T. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
  • 69', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽,
  • 70', Simons T. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
  • 70', Janga R. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
  • 79', Druijf F. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
  • 80', Reith B. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
  • 82', Ali H. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
  • 86', Rijkhoff J. 🟨,
  • 86', Burgering B. ↓, Dors M. ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 2, van Veen K. ⚽,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Simons S. ⚽,

Chances of winning


FC Eindhoven
14%		Draw
28.4%		Almere City
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 25.3% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 24.7% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
  • Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    FC Eindhoven - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 8.85 ↑
    (3.12)    		 3.98 ↑
    (3.65)    		 1.93 ↓
    (2.06)    		 -11.7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Almere City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 29% – 96%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.
    • Recent form of FC Eindhoven has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Almere City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Almere City were as follows:
    15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0
    26.05.2023 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 3:1
    22.05.2023 FC Eindhoven - Almere City 1:0
    10.02.2023 FC Eindhoven - Almere City 0:1
    12.09.2022 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 1:1
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    12.02.2026 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 2:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Eindhoven 1:0
    02.02.2026 Vitesse - FC Eindhoven 1:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht 5:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - Willem II 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Almere City
    13.02.2026 Almere City - Helmond Sport 0:1 ✺
    02.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - Almere City 1:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 Almere City - Roda 1:2 ✺
    26.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:4 ✺
    18.01.2026 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:0 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

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