Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (335/417) | 78% (342/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (335/417) | 78% (342/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (43/81) | 51% (33/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/126) | 62% (78/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Muller T. 🟨,
- 35', de Haan M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Blummel S. ⚽, Simons T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 54', Blomme X. 🟨,
- 58', Blomme X. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
- 59', Muller T. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Bijleveld T. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
- 69', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽,
- 70', Simons T. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
- 70', Janga R. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
- 79', Druijf F. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 80', Reith B. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
- 82', Ali H. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
- 86', Rijkhoff J. 🟨,
- 86', Burgering B. ↓, Dors M. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, van Veen K. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Simons S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
FC Eindhoven
14% | Draw
28.4% | Almere City
57.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FC Eindhoven - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.85 ↑
(3.12) |
3.98 ↑
(3.65) |
1.93 ↓
(2.06) |
-11.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.
- Recent form of FC Eindhoven has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Almere City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has FC Eindhoven won against Almere City?
FC Eindhoven has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against FC Eindhoven?
Almere City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Almere City were as follows:
15.09.2025
Almere City
-
FC Eindhoven
5:0
26.05.2023
Almere City
-
FC Eindhoven
3:1
22.05.2023
FC Eindhoven
-
Almere City
1:0
10.02.2023
FC Eindhoven
-
Almere City
0:1
12.09.2022
Almere City
-
FC Eindhoven
1:1
Latest results of FC Eindhoven
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 33 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 74:32 | 42 | 77 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 70:39 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Willem II | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 53 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 59:51 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Almere City | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 68:53 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 62:58 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 56:50 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 58:59 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 46:57 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Venlo | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 50:60 | -10 | 37 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 51:49 | 2 | 36 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 39:66 | -27 | 36 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 57:66 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Helmond | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | -19 | 34 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 45:59 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Oss | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
