Result
3:2
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 19
- Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (267/352) | 80% (345/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (267/352) | 80% (345/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 62% (57/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Appiah A. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Wendlinger J. (A),
- 38', Vink S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', Weijs W. 🟨,
- 63', Unuvar E. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
- 63', O'Niel D. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 63', Vink S. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 74', Burgering B. ↓, Kadile J. ↑,
- 79', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 79', Chourak N. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Konadu D. ⚽,
- 83', Druijf F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', de Haan M. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 2, Kalisvaart J. (Own goal),
- 89', Konadu D. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
- 90', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Sam A. ⚽, de Haan M. (A),
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Kadile J. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 90+4', Sam A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almere City
64.7% | Draw
18.8% | Jong Ajax
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Almere City - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.48) |
4.95 ↑
(4.42) |
5.7 ↑
(5.44) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Almere City - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 3.
- Almere City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jong Ajax's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Almere City is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Mokio J.
(Injury)
O'Niel D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Almere City will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 32:49. (average 1.6:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong Ajax?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Almere City?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Jong Ajax were as follows:
17.03.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Almere City
0:2
14.10.2022
Almere City
-
Jong Ajax
2:3
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
