Result
1:3
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 31
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (427/526) | 79% (306/388) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (427/526) | 79% (306/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (136/196) | 67% (36/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.81 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Tahaui A. ⚽, Bonnah S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 63', 1 - 2, Druijf F. ⚽, Reith B. (A),
- 71', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
- 75', de Haan M. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 3, Druijf F. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 77', Druijf F. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
- 77', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 80', Zumberi V. 🟨,
- 80', Schikora M. 🟨,
- 82', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 82', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 83', Buttner A. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
- 90', Providence R. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 90', Poku E. ↓, Burgering B. ↑,
- 90', Bonnah S. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
- 90', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitesse 34.9% | Draw 24.7% | Almere City 40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+3%)
Vitesse - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↓ (2.72) |
3.78 ↓ (3.95) |
2.31 ↑ (2.18) |
7.2% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Almere City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Vitesse (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Almere City (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 50%). Almere City (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Vitesse is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Almere City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Almere City?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Vitesse?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Almere City were as follows:
10.10.2025
Almere City
-
Vitesse
2:2
16.03.2024
Vitesse
-
Almere City
1:1
17.12.2023
Almere City
-
Vitesse
5:0
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 33 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 74:32 | 42 | 77 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 70:39 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Willem II | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 53 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 59:51 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Almere City | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 68:53 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 62:58 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 56:50 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 58:59 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 46:57 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Venlo | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 50:60 | -10 | 37 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 51:49 | 2 | 36 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 39:66 | -27 | 36 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 57:66 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Helmond | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | -19 | 34 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 45:59 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Oss | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie