Almeria B vs Real Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Romera J. M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Alonso A. ,

Chances of winning


Almeria B
28.5%
Draw
32.4%
Real Jaén
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 30.6% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 31.5% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almeria B's form might have worsened.
  • Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almeria B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Almeria B - Real Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.68)
    2.82
    (2.94)
    2.33
    (2.53)
    9.7%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 1.
    • Almeria B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Jaén's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almeria B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almeria B - Real Jaén were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Real Jaén - Almeria B 2:1
    08.06.2024 Real Jaén - Almeria B 1:2
    02.06.2024 Almeria B - Real Jaén 2:2
    21.04.2024 Almeria B - Real Jaén 0:1
    03.12.2023 Real Jaén - Almeria B 1:1
    Latest results of Almeria B
    11.01.2026 Almeria B - Xerez CD 1:2
    20.12.2025 Estepona - Almeria B 1:1
    14.12.2025 Almeria B - Melilla 1:1
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC25137532:181446
    2Recreativo Huelva25128534:161844
    3UCAM Murcia25135737:29844
    4Xerez CD25126725:19642
    5Jaen25118632:26641
    6Deportiva Minera25125834:241041
    7CD Extremadura24109537:29839
    8Lorca Deportiva25116826:24239
    9Linares24810629:33-434
    10Yeclano251031221:23-233
    11La Union2496928:28033
    12Antoniano25951128:31-332
    13Puente Genil2588922:27-532
    14Xerez D.F.C25610928:31-328
    15Melilla24510923:25-225
    16CD Estepona25651423:35-1223
    17Almeria B25461518:35-1718
    18Malaga B25351719:43-2414

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