Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (426/524) | 70% (201/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (426/524) | 70% (201/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 36% (26/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (120/164) | 51% (43/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Atienza M. 🟨,
- 33', Miguel F. 🟨,
- 33', Mejia M. 🟨,
- 38', Thalys 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Morante I. ⚽, Curro (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Thalys ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Mejia M. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Curro (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Puigmal A. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
- 63', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
- 64', Fidel Cedillo Segura P. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 69', Cordoba I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
- 69', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
- 70', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
- 78', Thalys ↓, Soko P. ↑,
- 81', Curro ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
- 81', Morante I. ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
- 83', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
- 90+8', Munoz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almería
54.8% | Draw
26.4% | Burgos
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Almería - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.68) |
3.57 ↓
(3.69) |
4.98 ↓
(5.24) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Almería - Burgos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Almería will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Almería has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Almería is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Chumi
(Ankle Injury)
Leo Baptistao
(Calf Injury)
Melamed N.
(Muscle Injury)
Monte N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I.
(Muscle Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Almería: Bonini F.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Burgos?
Almería has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Almería?
Burgos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Burgos were as follows:
21.03.2025
Burgos
-
Almería
3:1
05.10.2024
Almería
-
Burgos
2:0
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
