Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (426/524) | 70% (201/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (426/524) | 70% (201/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 36% (26/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (120/164) | 51% (43/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Atienza M. 🟨,
- 33', Miguel F. 🟨,
- 33', Mejia M. 🟨,
- 38', Thalys 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Morante I. ⚽, Curro (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Thalys ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Mejia M. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Curro (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Puigmal A. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
- 63', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
- 64', Fidel Cedillo Segura P. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 69', Cordoba I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
- 69', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
- 70', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
- 78', Thalys ↓, Soko P. ↑,
- 81', Curro ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
- 81', Morante I. ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
- 83', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
- 90+8', Munoz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almería
54.8% | Draw
26.4% | Burgos
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Almería - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.68) |
3.57 ↓
(3.69) |
4.98 ↓
(5.24) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Almería - Burgos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Almería will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Almería has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Almería is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Chumi
(Ankle Injury)
Leo Baptistao
(Calf Injury)
Melamed N.
(Muscle Injury)
Monte N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I.
(Muscle Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Almería: Bonini F.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Burgos?
Almería has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Almería?
Burgos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Burgos were as follows:
21.03.2025
Burgos
-
Almería
3:1
05.10.2024
Almería
-
Burgos
2:0
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 42:27 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Las Palmas | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Almeria | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 35:26 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 | Castellon | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Cadiz CF | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | Gijon | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 29 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Malaga | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 26 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
| 13 | Andorra | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Albacete | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25:31 | -6 | 23 |
| 15 | Huesca | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 16 | Cultural Leonesa | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 21 |
| 18 | Eibar | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 19 | Granada CF | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 20 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19:31 | -12 | 16 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
