Almería vs Córdoba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.410.68
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
66
Passes
68% (145/214)85% (410/481)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.410.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.811.02
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free kicks
1118
Passes
68% (145/214)85% (410/481)
Long passes
42% (25/60)60% (25/42)
Passes in final third
59% (50/85)74% (102/137)
Crosses
50% (7/14)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.79
Throw ins
2317
Fouls
1811
Tackles
55% (6/11)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
3416
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.021.81
Goals prevented
0.02-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 26', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, de la Fuente M. , Monte N. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Munoz A. , de la Fuente M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Albarran C. 🟨,
  • 65', Morcillo J. , Embarba A. ,
  • 65', Leo Baptistao , Puigmal A. ,
  • 68', Requena D. , de Almeida D. ,
  • 77', Bri D. , Guardiola S. ,
  • 77', Goti Lopez M. , Percan ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Percan , Ruiz I. (A),
  • 84', Arribas S. , Rodrigo Ely ,
  • 84', de la Fuente M. , Soko P. ,
  • 84', Luna M. , Chirino D. ,
  • 85', Carracedo C. , Adilson ,
  • 85', Fuentes A. , Obolskiy N. ,
  • 90+6', Embarba A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ruiz I. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2uc9a4h2

Chances of winning


Almería
44.6%
Draw
27.1%
Córdoba
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.2% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 28.6% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Almería - Córdoba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.03)
    3.48
    (3.44)
    3.36
    (3.54)
    5.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Almería - Córdoba?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Almería (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Almería (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
    • In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Córdoba is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Córdoba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Yellow Cards) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury) Melamed N. (Injury) Soko P. (Personal Reasons)
    • There will not play in Córdoba: Alves R. (Injury) Fomeyem F. (Ankle Injury) Zidane T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Córdoba: del Moral A. (Ribs Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Almería won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Córdoba were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Córdoba - Almería 1:1
    12.01.2025 Córdoba - Almería 0:3
    26.11.2024 Almería - Córdoba 4:0
    Latest results of Almería
    13.02.2026 Almería - FC Andorra 3:2
    08.02.2026 Cádiz - Almería 1:2
    01.02.2026 Almería - Ceuta 4:2
    25.01.2026 Eibar - Almería 1:0
    Latest results of Córdoba
    14.02.2026 Córdoba - Leganés 2:1
    31.01.2026 Córdoba - Valladolid 3:1
    24.01.2026 Las Palmas - Córdoba 1:2
    18.01.2026 Córdoba - Málaga 0:1
    12.01.2026 Huesca - Córdoba 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Castellon31148950:381250
    7Burgos CF31148936:261050
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Cultural Leonesa31771729:50-2128
    22Mirandes31761830:50-2027

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation