Eibar vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar).

LaLiga2 - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DSports 6

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.59	0.76
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	1
Passes
74% (304/409)	78% (351/451)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.59	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.28	1.27
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
5	6
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
5	10
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
34	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
19	14
Passes
74% (304/409)	78% (351/451)
Long passes
34% (22/65)	38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
59% (65/111)	57% (41/72)
Crosses
41% (9/22)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.48
Throw ins
17	18
Fouls
14	19
Tackles
63% (5/8)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
59	46
Clearances
11	25
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	5
xGOT faced
1.27	2.28
Goals prevented
1.27	1.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', de la Fuente M. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
66', Embarba A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
66', Dzodic S. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
69', Madariaga A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
72', Gui Guedes 🟨,
77', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
77', Leo Baptistao ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
79', Guruzeta J. 🟨,
83', Arribas S. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
87', Guruzeta J. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Olaetxea L. ⚽, Nolaskoain P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Eibar
40.8%

Draw
29.1%

Almería
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Eibar - Almería Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.36)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)	6.7% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Eibar - Almería?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3.
In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almería is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Eibar could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A. (Red Card) Ares A. (Injury)
There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chirino D. (Yellow Cards) Chumi (Knock) Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Eibar: Madariaga A. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Almería?

Eibar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Eibar?

Almería has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Almería were as follows:

01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1

07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0

22.09.2024 Almería - Eibar 2:2

Latest results of Eibar

19.01.2026 Granada - Eibar 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Burgos - Eibar 1:0 ✺

02.01.2026 Eibar - Mirandés 2:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Eibar - Valladolid 3:0 ✺

16.12.2025 Eibar - Elche 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Almería

17.01.2026 Almería - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Mirandés - Almería 2:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Málaga - Almería 2:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	28	16	5	7	56:36	20	53
2	Castellon	28	14	7	7	46:29	17	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	53:40	13	49
4	Dep. La Coruna	28	14	7	7	44:31	13	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	41:31	10	47
6	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	34:22	12	45
7	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	36:39	-3	44
8	Burgos CF	28	12	7	9	30:26	4	43
9	Gijon	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	38:37	1	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	31:30	1	38
12	Andorra	28	9	8	11	35:40	-5	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	33:39	-6	35
14	Cadiz CF	28	9	8	11	29:35	-6	35
15	Leganes	28	8	10	10	29:28	1	34
16	Real Sociedad B	28	9	7	12	38:39	-1	34
17	Granada CF	28	7	11	10	32:33	-1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	26:37	-11	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	27:44	-17	27
21	Mirandes	28	6	6	16	28:45	-17	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	23:41	-18	24

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation