Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Ecuador | DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | DSports 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (304/409) | 78% (351/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (304/409) | 78% (351/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/65) | 38% (28/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (65/111) | 57% (41/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', de la Fuente M. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
- 66', Embarba A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
- 66', Dzodic S. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
- 69', Madariaga A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
- 72', Gui Guedes 🟨,
- 77', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
- 77', Leo Baptistao ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
- 79', Guruzeta J. 🟨,
- 83', Arribas S. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 87', Guruzeta J. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Olaetxea L. ⚽, Nolaskoain P. (A),
Chances of winning
Eibar
40.8% | Draw
29.1% | Almería
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Eibar - Almería Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.36) |
3.21 ↓
(3.4) |
3.11 ↑
(2.93) |
6.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Eibar - Almería?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3.
- In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Almería is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Eibar could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A.
(Red Card)
Ares A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Almería: Bonini F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Chirino D.
(Yellow Cards)
Chumi
(Knock)
Fidel Cedillo Segura P.
(Injury)
Lopy D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Eibar: Madariaga A.
(Injury)
Rodriguez A.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Almería?
Eibar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Eibar?
Almería has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Almería were as follows:
01.11.2025
Almería
-
Eibar
3:1
07.03.2025
Eibar
-
Almería
1:0
22.09.2024
Almería
-
Eibar
2:2
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Castellon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
