Eibar vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.590.76
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
64
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
61
Passes
74% (304/409)78% (351/451)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.590.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.27
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
56
Shots inside the box
125
Shots outside the box
510
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1914
Passes
74% (304/409)78% (351/451)
Long passes
34% (22/65)38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
59% (65/111)57% (41/72)
Crosses
41% (9/22)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.48
Throw ins
1718
Fouls
1419
Tackles
63% (5/8)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5946
Clearances
1125
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
1.272.28
Goals prevented
1.271.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 66', de la Fuente M. , Soko P. ,
  • 66', Embarba A. , Morcillo J. ,
  • 66', Dzodic S. , Baba I. ,
  • 69', Madariaga A. , Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ,
  • 72', Gui Guedes 🟨,
  • 77', Javier Marton , Bautista J. ,
  • 77', Leo Baptistao , Melamed N. ,
  • 79', Guruzeta J. 🟨,
  • 83', Arribas S. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 87', Guruzeta J. , Alkain X. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Olaetxea L. , Nolaskoain P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Eibar
40.8%
Draw
29.1%
Almería
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 27.9% 32.4%

Eibar - Almería Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.3
(2.36)
3.21
(3.4)
3.11
(2.93)
6.7%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Eibar - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3.
    • In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almería is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Eibar could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A. (Red Card) Ares A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chirino D. (Yellow Cards) Chumi (Knock) Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eibar: Madariaga A. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Almería were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1
    07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0
    22.09.2024 Almería - Eibar 2:2
    Latest results of Eibar
    19.01.2026 Granada - Eibar 0:0
    10.01.2026 Burgos - Eibar 1:0
    02.01.2026 Eibar - Mirandés 2:1
    19.12.2025 Eibar - Valladolid 3:0
    16.12.2025 Eibar - Elche 0:1
    Latest results of Almería
    10.01.2026 Mirandés - Almería 2:2
    03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2
    21.12.2025 Málaga - Almería 2:1
    14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation