Almería vs Eibar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

UD Almería Stadium (Almería).

LaLiga2 - Round 12
Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Ecuador	DSports 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DSports 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	1.18
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
81% (316/392)	85% (451/528)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	1.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	1.20
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
15	22
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
7	15
Passes
81% (316/392)	85% (451/528)
Long passes
45% (25/56)	57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
72% (58/81)	69% (99/144)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.78
Throw-ins
17	20
Fouls
15	7
Tackles
68% (13/19)	89% (16/18)
Duels won
45	50
Clearances
26	9
Interceptions
16	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.20	1.66
Goals prevented
0.20	-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Corpas J. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Arribas S. (Pen),
22', 2 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽, Melamed N. (A),
33', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Dzodic S. (A),
45+4', Lopy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Lopy D. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
64', Arbilla A. 🟨,
64', Bautista J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
64', Corpas J. ↓, Villa T. ↑,
66', Olaetxea L. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
68', Soko P. ↓, Thalys ↑,
68', Melamed N. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Arbilla A. ⚽, Villa T. (A),
72', Munoz A. 🟨,
74', Arbilla A. ↓, Arambarri A. ↑,
76', Dzodic S. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
76', Embarba A. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
84', Rodriguez A. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycxexxr4

Chances of winning

Almería
55.5%

Draw
25%

Eibar
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.6%

17.6%

Almería - Eibar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	3.77 ↓ (4.09)	4.77 ↓ (5.25)	5.9% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Almería - Eibar?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Almería will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
Almería is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Almería is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Horta A. (Injury)
There will not play in Eibar: Cubero S. (Injury)
There are questionable in Eibar: Alvarez S. (Muscle Injury) Guruzeta J. (Injury)
We predict that Almería will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Eibar?

Almería has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Almería?

Eibar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Eibar were as follows:

07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0

22.09.2024 Almería - Eibar 2:2

Latest results of Almería

29.10.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Almería 0:2 ✺

26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Córdoba - Almería 1:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Eibar

29.10.2025 Náxara - Eibar 2:4 ✺

25.10.2025 Eibar - Leganés 0:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Las Palmas - Eibar 3:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Eibar - Castellón 0:0 ✺

03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	17	11	2	4	40:25	15	35
2	Dep. La Coruna	17	9	5	3	32:17	15	32
3	Almeria	17	9	5	3	33:22	11	32
4	Las Palmas	16	8	5	3	18:10	8	29
5	Castellon	17	8	4	5	27:21	6	28
6	Burgos CF	16	7	4	5	21:15	6	25
7	Ceuta	17	7	4	6	18:21	-3	25
8	Valladolid	17	6	6	5	20:15	5	24
9	Gijon	17	7	3	7	21:23	-2	24
10	Cadiz CF	17	6	6	5	16:18	-2	24
11	Cultural Leonesa	17	7	2	8	20:22	-2	23
12	Cordoba	17	5	7	5	21:22	-1	22
13	Granada CF	17	4	8	5	20:22	-2	20
14	Malaga	16	5	4	7	20:21	-1	19
15	Leganes	17	4	7	6	16:18	-2	19
16	Albacete	16	5	4	7	22:27	-5	19
17	Huesca	17	5	4	8	15:23	-8	19
18	Real Sociedad B	17	5	3	9	23:26	-3	18
19	Andorra	17	4	6	7	19:26	-7	18
20	Eibar	17	4	5	8	18:24	-6	17
21	Mirandes	16	4	3	9	17:26	-9	15
22	Zaragoza	16	4	3	9	13:26	-13	15

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation