Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 12
- Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Bergara M. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Rojas F. ⚽,
- 36', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 36', Guanini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ortiz D. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
- 46', Ascacibar J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 67', Busse W. ↓, Galetto J. ↑,
- 67', Contin N. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Bergara M. ⚽,
- 70', Bergara M. 🟨,
- 76', Rinaldi N. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 76', Tallura A. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
- 76', Chaves I. F. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
- 77', Bergara M. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 79', Birge M. 🟨,
- 79', Blasi B. 🟨,
- 83', Aleo A. ↓, James J. ↑,
- 87', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
47.7% | Draw
32.9% | Gimnasia y Tiro
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.12) |
2.79 ↓
(3.1) |
4.83 ↑
(3.7) |
7.6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).
- Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gimnasia y Tiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Alvarado will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Gimnasia y Tiro?
Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Tiro won against Alvarado?
Gimnasia y Tiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
| 13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
