Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 11
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/484) | 83% (317/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/484) | 83% (317/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (25/41) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (120/156) | 64% (41/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Clayton ⚽, Vrousai M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Pohlmann O. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
- 69', Nuozzi C. ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Sandro Lima ⚽, Lincoln (A),
- 78', Marezi ↓, Leite T. ↑,
- 78', Abdulai S. ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 81', Chissumba 🟨,
- 83', Gui D. 🟨,
- 87', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 87', Athanasiou N. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 90+5', Lincoln ↓, Esteves G. ↑,
- 90+5', Amorim ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
- 90+5', Andre Luiz ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alverca
42.4% | Draw
28.4% | Rio Ave
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Alverca - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.3) |
3.35 ↓
(3.38) |
3.26 ↑
(3.06) |
4.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alverca - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 13.8% – 69.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- Alverca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rio Ave has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Alverca has had a series of away games.
- Alverca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
Diarra S.
(Inactive)
James I.
(Inactive)
Leo Chu
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
Paulo A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Miszta C.
(Yellow Cards)
Panzo J.
(Red Card)
Rafael Lobato
(Inactive)
Richards O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Figueiredo
(Injury)
Mendes T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Rio Ave?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Alverca?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Rio Ave were as follows:
23.11.2024
Alverca
-
Rio Ave
2:3
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:7 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | -15 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | -23 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9:31 | -22 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
