Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/437) | 83% (335/404) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/437) | 83% (335/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (97/150) | 74% (81/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 56% (15/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Figueiredo ⚽, Lincoln (A),
- 21', 0 - 2, Sandro Lima ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
- 42', Nikitscher T. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Vrousai M. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Blesa J. ⚽, Abbey N. (A),
- 68', Abbey N. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
- 68', Pohlmann O. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
- 68', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
- 73', Rhaldney ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 74', Sandro Lima 🟨,
- 74', Blesa J. 🟨,
- 75', Sandro Lima ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
- 79', Spikic D. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 81', Ntoi A. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 85', Chiquinho ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
32.2% | Draw
29.6% | Alverca
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Ave's form might have worsened.Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Ave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Rio Ave - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.51) |
3.19 ↓
(3.37) |
2.51 ↓
(2.68) |
5.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).
- Rio Ave is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alverca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Injury)
Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Alverca?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Rio Ave?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Alverca were as follows:
08.11.2025
Alverca
-
Rio Ave
1:1
23.11.2024
Alverca
-
Rio Ave
2:3
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
