Atlético CP vs Amarante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Atlético CP - Amarante
Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
88
Corner Kicks
77
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
77
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Henriques D. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Caleb ,
  • 39', 3 - 0, Caleb (Pen),
  • 43', Helder Pedro 🟨,
  • 45', Dinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dinho , Zakari B. ,
  • 46', Sousa C. , Antunes Tiago C. J. ,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 77', Almeida B. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Aguiar E. ,
  • 82', Durand V. , Barandas M. ,
  • 82', Franco E. , Joaozinho ,
  • 83', Semedo K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético CP
40.2%
Draw
29.6%
Amarante
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 28.5% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 28.4% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético CP's form might have worsened.
  • Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amarante's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético CP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amarante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético CP - Amarante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.87)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    3.06
    (4.08)
    8.3%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Atlético CP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Amarante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Amarante has had a series of home games.
    • Atlético CP might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético CP - Amarante were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Amarante - Atlético CP 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    26.04.2025 Fafe - Atlético CP 2:0
    19.04.2025 Atlético CP - Varzim 0:2
    05.04.2025 Atlético CP - Belenenses 2:2
    30.03.2025 1 Dezembro - Atlético CP 0:1
    Latest results of Amarante
    26.04.2025 Amarante - Lusitânia 1:1
    19.04.2025 Amarante - 1 Dezembro 1:1
    13.04.2025 Fafe - Amarante 1:1
    06.04.2025 Amarante - Varzim 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense42207:168
    2Braga B52214:408
    3Varzim42117:347
    4Sanjoanense51406:427
    5AD Marco 0951401:017
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B51315:416
    7Amarante41123:4-14
    8Paredes50414:5-14
    9Sao Joao Ver50322:8-63
    10AD Fafe40222:8-62


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas53116:5110
    21u00ba Dezembro42205:328
    3Amora42114:137
    4Os Belenenses42114:5-17
    5Academica42026:426
    6Atletico CP42023:216
    7Mafra41213:5-25
    8Santarem51132:6-44
    9Lusitano GC41034:403
    10Covilha40222:4-22

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