Mafra vs Amarante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
119
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Ventura , Saint-Louis J. (A),
  • 18', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 36', Innusah H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Moreira R. , Xico ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Zangre A. ,
  • 66', Beni D. , Raposo C. ,
  • 66', Matos R. , Ninte M. ,
  • 66', Innusah H. , Meireles A. ,
  • 66', Saint-Louis J. , Conceicao M. ,
  • 70', 0 - 3, Rodrigues D. ,
  • 77', Camara M. , Serra S. ,
  • 77', Neves L. , Pinto R. ,
  • 82', Rodrigues D. , Ribeiro O. ,
  • 82', Ventura , Arome ,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Iheanacho S. ,
  • 90+3', Conceicao M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+4', Zangre A. , Antunes Tiago C. J. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 4, Arome , Conceicao M. (A),
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mafra
43.6%
Draw
30.7%
Amarante
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 31.6% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 31.3% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Mafra - Amarante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.21)
    2.99
    (2.89)
    3.56
    (3.4)
    9%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • Mafra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Amarante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mafra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mafra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Amarante were as follows:
    21.02.2026 Amarante - Mafra 1:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    11.04.2026 Varzim - Mafra 0:2
    22.03.2026 Mafra - Belenenses 1:4
    15.03.2026 Académica Coimbra - Mafra 2:0
    Latest results of Amarante
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante1274118:10825
    2Academica1163216:10621
    3Os Belenenses1255220:14620
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B1144314:11316
    5Mafra1141611:18-713
    6Varzim1141610:14-413
    7Santarem1223711:17-69
    8Trofense122376:12-69

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )