Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Filipe J. 🟨,
- 21', Pedro R. 🟨,
- 25', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 74', Duarte D. P. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Saint-Louis J. ⚽,
- 85', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amarante
29.1% | Draw
31.1% | Paredes
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Amarante - Paredes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(3.19) |
2.96
(2.96) |
2.31 ↓
(2.41) |
8.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 3.
- Amarante has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paredes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Amarante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Paredes?
Amarante has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Amarante?
Paredes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Paredes were as follows:
14.01.2024
Paredes
-
Amarante
1:3
26.11.2023
Paredes
-
Amarante
0:2
27.08.2023
Amarante
-
Paredes
1:0
Latest results of Amarante
Latest results of Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Varzim | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Amarante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Paredes | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Amora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
