Vilaverdense vs Amarante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Vilaverdense - Amarante
Result
0:1
26/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
810
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
46
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Yellow Cards
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Zangre A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Yemi , Diancoumba S. ,
  • 67', Jota R. , Burst J. ,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 75', Dinho , Daniel Alves ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 77', Sacko M. 🟨,
  • 80', Barbosa E. 🟨,
  • 83', Pedro J. 🟨,
  • 87', Zangre A. , Filipe R. ,
  • 90+3', Ribeiro O. , Cardoso F. ,
  • 90+3', Bright , Sousa C. ,

Chances of winning


Vilaverdense
21.1%
Draw
27.5%
Amarante
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 25.8% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 16.6% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilaverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amarante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vilaverdense - Amarante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (5.2)
    3.36
    (3.55)
    1.8
    (1.62)
    8.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vilaverdense - Amarante?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Amarante will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Amarante: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Vilaverdense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    • Vilaverdense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Amarante is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Amarante is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilaverdense - Amarante were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Amarante - Vilaverdense 1:0
    Latest results of Vilaverdense
    18.01.2025 Braga B - Vilaverdense 2:1
    12.01.2025 Vilaverdense - Lusitânia 0:2
    04.01.2025 Varzim - Vilaverdense 3:2
    14.12.2024 Vilaverdense - Anadia 1:1
    Latest results of Amarante
    18.01.2025 Amarante - Fafe 0:0
    12.01.2025 Amarante - Braga B 1:1
    04.01.2025 Lusitânia - Amarante 1:0
    15.12.2024 Amarante - Varzim 0:1
    08.12.2024 Anadia - Amarante 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Pacos FerreiraOs Belenenses2 : 0, 1 : 2