Result
1:0
09/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Referee: Correia B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.46 | 1.12 |
Ball Possession |
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48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 8 |
Passes |
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81% (288/355) | 84% (320/380) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.46 | 1.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.99 | 0.15 |
Total shots |
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9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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17 | 20 |
Passes |
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81% (288/355) | 84% (320/380) |
Long passes |
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41% (21/51) | 54% (22/41) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (72/106) | 76% (91/119) |
Crosses |
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23% (3/13) | 17% (4/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.80 | 1.21 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 26 |
Fouls |
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20 | 17 |
Tackles |
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89% (17/19) | 94% (16/17) |
Duels won |
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66 | 55 |
Clearances |
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33 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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0.15 | 1.99 |
Goals prevented |
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0.15 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Sidimar 🟨,
- 38', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Vasquez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
- 53', Thomas Luciano ↓, Wellington Nascimento ↑,
- 54', Vasquez L. ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
- 62', Ramirez Kevin ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Luan Silva ⚽,
- 68', Martinez F. ↓, David Braga ↑,
- 68', Sidimar ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
- 69', Yuri ↓, Nathan ↑,
- 77', Luan Silva ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 78', Gustavao ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 78', Sandry ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 90+2', Fernando Neto 🟨,
- 90+3', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amazonas 43.8% | Draw 30.6% | Athletic Club 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amazonas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Amazonas - Athletic Club Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (2.07) |
3.04 ↓ (3.21) |
3.65 ↑ (3.64) |
7.4% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Amazonas - Athletic Club?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Amazonas will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Amazonas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Athletic is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Amazonas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Athletic Club?
Amazonas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Amazonas?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Athletic Club were as follows:
Latest results of Amazonas
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )