Result
1:0
09/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Referee: Correia B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (288/355) | 84% (320/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.46 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.99 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 17 | 20 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (288/355) | 84% (320/380) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (21/51) | 54% (22/41) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (72/106) | 76% (91/119) |
| Crosses |
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| 23% (3/13) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.80 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
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| 20 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 89% (17/19) | 94% (16/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 66 | 55 |
| Clearances |
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| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.15 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.15 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Sidimar 🟨,
- 38', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Vasquez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
- 53', Thomas Luciano ↓, Wellington Nascimento ↑,
- 54', Vasquez L. ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
- 62', Ramirez Kevin ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Luan Silva ⚽,
- 68', Martinez F. ↓, David Braga ↑,
- 68', Sidimar ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
- 69', Yuri ↓, Nathan ↑,
- 77', Luan Silva ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 78', Gustavao ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 78', Sandry ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 90+2', Fernando Neto 🟨,
- 90+3', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amazonas
43.8% | Draw
30.6% | Athletic Club
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amazonas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Amazonas - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.07) |
3.04 ↓
(3.21) |
3.65 ↑
(3.64) |
7.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Amazonas - Athletic Club?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Amazonas will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Amazonas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Athletic is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Amazonas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Athletic Club?
Amazonas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Amazonas?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Athletic Club were as follows:
Latest results of Amazonas
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | America MG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
